TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$630,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$651,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $630,382 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under23c146,898$34,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,411.434,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over74c100,000$73,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,50017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under7c34,108$2,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,528.131,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Under7c30,549$2,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,138.4238817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under32c28,116$8,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,870.8136235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec7f…7d79backed Under42c23,667$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-83.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Over58c17,240$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,240.1814734%50 W · 97 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over59c14,999$8,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,197.6477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under41c11,299$4,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,643.4725942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c3…600fbacked Under19c10,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.994148.8%20 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under26c9,720$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.7126447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under7c7,777$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.3914325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Under35c6,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1002441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db9…668abacked Under10c5,550$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5553125.8%8 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under31c5,426$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.521,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under32c5,249$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.589233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under30c4,779$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.3820839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under7c4,379$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.5420724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under34c4,324$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.593,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under17c3,656$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.811,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under32c3,558$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.3444130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Under7c3,500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24534125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over73c3,418$2,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91227032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Under7c3,333$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.3112325.2%31 W · 92 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Under2c3,062$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2319738.1%75 W · 122 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under7c3,020$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.224626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63ad…8089backed Under7c3,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick8cpaid+185.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Over63c2,800$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.994772.3%34 W · 13 L+12.7wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+107.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under31c2,712$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.692,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1c0…ecf1backed Under27c2,627$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.372213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Under7c2,500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17510518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Over65c2,500$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87510471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over80c2,417$1,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.571,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86010441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9822643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over58c1,905$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80025339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under19c1,892$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.483,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d76…11aebacked Over57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.398252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over77c1,700$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.024,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under27c1,685$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.942,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Under10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under7c1,462$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.394,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb32…a015backed Under7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002516%4 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-59.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over67c1,313$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.5729558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad9…7e66backed Under7c1,312$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.837631.6%24 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under41c1,309$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.3125038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Under8c1,300$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10414433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under7c1,239$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.741,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under42c1,205$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.0633740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over57c1,200$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51635036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Under27c1,200$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32413731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe31d…a83dbacked Under43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004067.5%27 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over74c1,155$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.232,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under36c1,083$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39019744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under7c1,024$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.681,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d08…eda0backed Under8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808835.2%31 W · 57 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+136.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Under30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Over61c1,000$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39512241.8%51 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked Over73c980.2$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.216163.4%102 W · 59 L+25.7wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+44.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under28c967.64$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.791,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x279d…5e89backed Under3c892.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305747.4%27 W · 30 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick29cpaid+46%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb602…1ab1backed Over72c827.38$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.678939.3%35 W · 54 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e2a…7f8bbacked Under45c821.64$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.748651.2%44 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa77…dad6backed Over74c806.76$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.766448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe65e…b719backed Over64c800$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29017040%68 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over77c791.8$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.798,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77ac…5750backed Over63c780.78$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.784772.3%34 W · 13 L+10.7wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+50.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under23c727.89$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.572,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaa0…e78abacked Under42c720.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.998950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over72c719$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.81,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8867…518cbacked Under19c716.95$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.224841.7%20 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6d5…658bbacked Under7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015336.6%56 W · 97 L+12.2wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under42c713.65$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.1137650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73bb…f68ebacked Over70c708.57$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.572147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under33c692.86$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.2925049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over64c664.33$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.61,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa204…96f6backed Over64c660.57$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.812171.4%15 W · 6 L+5.4wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+71.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over70c653$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.861,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under6c650.03$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x318d…e94cbacked Over65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3817462.1%108 W · 66 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Under43c587.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9853629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed Under7c571.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409815.3%15 W · 83 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under3c541.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c7b…bd59backed Under19c520$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4522147.1%104 W · 117 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over58c505.38$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.2627655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Over65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1759357%53 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd20b…3a20backed Over77c499.76$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9412663.5%80 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7776…be8dbacked Over77c470.27$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.272161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Under29c457.25$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4522633.6%76 W · 150 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04a…d7ecbacked Over66c457.13$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.139145.1%41 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ab4…b18bbacked Under23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011644%51 W · 65 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64a7…2133backed Under7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309322.6%21 W · 72 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e7…242ebacked Over64c425.31$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.11771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Over69c421.48$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.662245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46f7…0f92backed Under3c408.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.57326%19 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Under5c406.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.34623.9%11 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Under25c401$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.254330.2%13 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.