TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x77ac…5750

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
102
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 66 out of 100 (+0.15 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 66 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT4772.3%34 W · 13 L+10.7wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+50.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$256.3
Canada to score first vs. South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+181.6%+$898.82
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+71.4%+$353.24
South Africa vs. Canada: Canada O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$159.58
Egypt to score first vs. IR Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$187.42
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$196.92
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+174%+$1,139.67
Switzerland to score first vs. Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$456.92
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$421.67
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$336.06
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$495
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+264.5%+$1,309.38
Switzerland vs. Canada: Switzerland O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$243.81
Switzerland vs. Canada: Canada O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$475.59
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$2,255
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$1,155
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$26.46
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.77
Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$130.88
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+182.9%+$1,810.74
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+190.7%+$1,888.3
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST4452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 3 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$280
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+55.5%+$118.42
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$865Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+92.1%+$797
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+268.6%+$805.67
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,025Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+65.8%+$1,332.14
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$773Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+142.4%+$1,101.71
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$625.08
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+78.1%+$356.34
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,155.37
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$698.06
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,062.08
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$121.61
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$613.27
LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$610.52
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+31.6%+$10.11
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,787Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+237%+$4,234.87
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,031.7
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$647Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$647.1
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,309Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+48.1%+$629.78
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$341.44
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$594
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,467Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+68.6%+$1,006.29
LoL: Oh My God vs Ultra Prime (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$135.21
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,886Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+88.4%+$1,668.05
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+79.8%+$213.1
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+25.3%+$20.2
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Trail Blazers vs. Pelicansbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+64.2%+$11.72
All 4 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.