TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,507,368
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,205,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,507,368 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No70c532,295$371,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160,624.192,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78c6…4710backed Yes28c363,783$103,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103,105.271323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No70c269,379$187,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,137.0374752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No74c228,565$169,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,032.5229952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6501…1220backed Yes32c211,237$67,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,595.784667.4%31 W · 15 L+9.3wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Yes25c196,974$49,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,243.4215552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes27c157,653$43,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,305.142,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No74c127,978$94,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,274.354858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes38c126,826$48,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,320.898,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde0f…ddd3backed Yes1c107,925$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2005743.9%25 W · 32 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+38.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc57f…c909backed No73c82,904$60,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,384.083458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c76,120$41,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,176.014,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked No69c64,043$43,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,046.8638734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No55c62,852$34,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,312.7621738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce80…9a82backed Yes66c56,624$37,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,387.273951.3%20 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+10.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes2c52,210$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.5675335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked No74c44,990$33,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,647.513959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes24c44,950$10,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,788.011,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes27c44,038$11,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,890.2714553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed No73c43,765$31,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,816.4417452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No53c43,093$22,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,159.8631945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes32c40,000$12,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,799.9727039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No73c33,652$24,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,149.641,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf81…6e25backed Yes61c32,787$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Yes1c32,685$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.8514544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes1c31,200$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32414715.6%23 W · 124 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37d9…9b1ebacked Yes32c29,971$9,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,726.931533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No44c29,962$13,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,633.321,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes49c27,726$13,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,695.6144539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes29c26,493$7,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,634.2879231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed No47c25,413$11,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,570.5813037.7%49 W · 81 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Yes32c25,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.9913742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed Yes28c22,590$6,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,219.429645.8%44 W · 52 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes27c22,500$6,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,07513330.1%40 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No71c22,306$15,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,563.6536939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04c0…4f3dbacked Yes16c21,900$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6007632.9%25 W · 51 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes2c20,089$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.691468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No55c18,810$10,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,551.632,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No44c18,734$8,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,560.493,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No73c18,605$13,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,104.8631232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked No73c15,750$11,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,252.515456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes26c15,385$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No54c15,235$8,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,940.6233337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3608…b13dbacked Yes26c13,250$3,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4453036.7%11 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+46.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes24c13,116$3,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,157.551,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked No76c12,909$9,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,113.433549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f05…7e5dbacked Yes2c12,752$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.1630432.6%99 W · 205 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe077…369bbacked Yes68c12,751$8,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,670.89425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6100…0b49backed Yes2c12,644$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.361822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-46.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes2c12,501$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.2234122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x108e…b771backed Yes33c12,387$4,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,087.565930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78b1…7d20backed Yes0c12,042$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.95335.8%19 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Yes33c12,000$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9607550.7%38 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No75c11,812$8,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,952.912,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No64c11,365$7,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,080.0345039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes26c11,212$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.9970244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d6…ea7bbacked Yes3c10,500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3059225%23 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013933.8%47 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes42c9,670$4,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,066.8136634.4%126 W · 240 L-24.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc498…0cbfbacked Yes2c9,451$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009338.7%36 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes42c9,388$3,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,914.7235034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes6c9,212$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.429333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No61c9,065$5,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,568.0542043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Yes28c8,929$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50014829.7%44 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No67c8,822$5,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,911.2531945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bf0…728fbacked Yes33c8,728$2,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,853.215123.5%12 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes6c8,523$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.0573626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03cf…7260backed No48c8,257$3,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,333.326627.3%18 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e56…d55ebacked No53c7,852$4,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,679.7815846.2%73 W · 85 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes58c7,699$4,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,471.7465948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae94…6b17backed Yes29c7,420$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.6610956%61 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes11c7,159$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.2645528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed No69c6,921$4,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.1984738.8%329 W · 518 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No56c6,818$3,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,992.7124443%105 W · 139 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Yes47c6,812$3,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,201.5613151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed No74c6,773$5,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.0324950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7b…a88dbacked Yes74c6,622$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9002733.3%9 W · 18 L-6.6wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-48.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed No68c6,600$4,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.9811642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No25c6,550$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,897.031,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x323a…876fbacked Yes26c6,538$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70012035%42 W · 78 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fc…128dbacked Yes40c6,291$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5008452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes1c6,081$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4922933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes33c6,061$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020633%68 W · 138 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f7…451bbacked Yes33c6,061$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No75c5,995$4,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.8630751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No65c5,910$3,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.84,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No74c5,809$4,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.462,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8f…8df8backed No51c5,797$2,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,811.7715746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc769…8316backed Yes38c5,796$2,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,186.797751.9%40 W · 37 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No66c5,787$3,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.1524441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce0c…d839backed Yes45c5,645$2,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,535.814926.5%13 W · 36 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes26c5,589$1,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.2111421.1%24 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked No64c5,469$3,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,970.9737223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37cf…bdb4backed Yes2c5,463$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.13128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b61…230ebacked Yes26c5,205$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.1815936.5%58 W · 101 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Yes26c5,158$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34113237.1%49 W · 83 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…23dabacked Yes1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50494.1%2 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-60.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes2c5,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.