Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x085e6d64dbcc4a308e7477c3bda16b8c3c62ec37f7df7a06dcafb6ab08396401

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $8,054,695
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $7,774,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,054,695 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 3,435 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa235…34bbbacked Yes	19c	985,153$185,345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185,345.19	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-3.5wins	-0.14per pick	38cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7225…659abacked No	54c	608,422$328,548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279,874.13	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x78c6…4710backed Yes	25c	443,922$110,702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110,701.75	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes	46c	349,190$160,627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160,627.46	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-27%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	20c	332,340$64,808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64,807.53	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa078…419abacked Yes	10c	217,217$21,722 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,721.65	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes	17c	106,113$17,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,569.67	263	20.5%54 W · 209 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c55…dbb9backed Yes	0c	101,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.99	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	26cpaid	-80.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed Yes	18c	93,395$16,572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,571.67	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	15c	73,164$11,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,110.88	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b8…aa04backed Yes	18c	69,983$12,597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,596.96	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb41a…5b07backed Yes	17c	65,018$11,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,053.03	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Yes	18c	60,000$10,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,799.95	66	27.3%18 W · 48 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad7…ae48backed Yes	18c	60,000$10,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,799.92	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No	77c	57,041$43,918 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,123.71	217	38.7%84 W · 133 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No	75c	53,168$39,956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,212.18	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No	74c	51,812$38,417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,394.95	369	39.6%146 W · 223 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c3…6d97backed Yes	19c	51,196$9,727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,727.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b87…d7aabacked Yes	19c	48,244$8,936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,936.31	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes	42c	47,450$19,716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,716.08	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed Yes	45c	46,915$21,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,111.75	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes	18c	43,816$8,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,000	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9301…3b67backed Yes	45c	40,379$18,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,159.62	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-44%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes	18c	39,024$7,081 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,081.28	174	52.3%91 W · 83 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80d…4ea7backed Yes	18c	33,333$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadbd…93dcbacked Yes	18c	31,892$5,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,740.5	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed No	76c	31,209$23,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,436.91	130	37.7%49 W · 81 L	-10.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2299…d23abacked Yes	19c	30,760$5,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,800	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-1.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Yes	39c	28,875$11,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,157.11	208	39.4%82 W · 126 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+33%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes	11c	27,910$3,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,087.41	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70cc…38ebbacked Yes	18c	27,778$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa55…fae5backed Yes	40c	27,393$10,957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,957.24	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc098…cd90backed Yes	19c	26,316$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	62	19.4%12 W · 50 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8f…8df8backed No	75c	25,822$19,427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,394.83	157	46.5%73 W · 84 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f12…8140backed Yes	19c	25,200$4,788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,788	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Yes	18c	25,000$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500.02	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes	19c	24,984$4,747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,746.92	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb715…c3bbbacked Yes	19c	24,865$4,724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,724.34	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9b…572ebacked Yes	14c	23,598$3,387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,387.22	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+3.1wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No	75c	23,354$17,511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,843.69	319	45.5%145 W · 174 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x108e…b771backed Yes	19c	22,733$4,319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,319.35	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-16%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	79c	22,443$17,786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,656.74	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…04a9backed No	55c	22,267$12,165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,101.75	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed Yes	18c	22,000$3,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,960	96	45.8%44 W · 52 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ff…8450backed Yes	19c	21,420$4,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,019.32	60	16.7%10 W · 50 L	-7.3wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes	18c	21,068$3,765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,765.45	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7aa…3d38backed Yes	19c	20,449$3,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,885.36	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes	46c	20,000$9,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,200	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e3f…cb63backed Yes	19c	19,702$3,709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,709.12	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+79.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Yes	45c	19,137$8,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,565.66	94	40.4%38 W · 56 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4b4…1e69backed Yes	43c	18,644$8,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,030	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	39cpaid	-65.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed No	55c	18,182$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,181.82	169	47.3%80 W · 89 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x119e…cb14backed No	55c	17,939$9,867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,072.67	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes	18c	16,667$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	316	44.9%142 W · 174 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe275…f1eebacked Yes	19c	16,316$3,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,100	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5b…7796backed Yes	18c	15,810$2,869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,869.22	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No	66c	15,595$10,314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,280.71	319	45.1%144 W · 175 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf90c…abb7backed Yes	41c	15,583$6,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,375.95	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca41…0f12backed Yes	1c	14,259$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No	79c	13,883$10,938 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,944.6	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e1…5621backed No	55c	13,844$7,614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,229.8	136	35.3%48 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes	23c	13,726$3,181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,180.59	229	33.6%77 W · 152 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1289…6f82backed Yes	18c	12,068$2,226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,225.92	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes	12c	11,881$1,367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,366.64	1,206	32.7%394 W · 812 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Yes	45c	11,760$5,251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,251.4	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No	79c	11,042$8,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,362.46	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2664…56c7backed Yes	19c	11,000$2,090 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,090	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed No	55c	10,982$6,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,941.96	104	71.2%74 W · 30 L	+6.0wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No	77c	10,749$8,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,433.72	450	39.6%178 W · 272 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaecf…7061backed Yes	18c	10,748$1,935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,934.71	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	14cpaid	-85%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6a…c0d7backed Yes	18c	10,579$1,904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,904.21	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-71.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes	19c	10,526$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	126	16.7%21 W · 105 L	-12.6wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No	66c	10,515$6,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,615.32	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Yes	18c	10,457$1,882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,882.26	186	33.3%62 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e7…ee3cbacked Yes	18c	10,316$1,857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,856.9	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecb7…8ab7backed Yes	19c	10,219$1,942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,941.68	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	-4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x792f…328abacked Yes	19c	10,000$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3cb…ac21backed Yes	46c	10,000$4,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,600	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa392…7ff7backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes	19c	10,000$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	77	29.9%23 W · 54 L	-5.1wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-32%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82ba…afeabacked Yes	18c	10,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	153	37.3%57 W · 96 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes	45c	10,000$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,499.97	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef8d…b115backed Yes	19c	9,316$1,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,770	102	24.5%25 W · 77 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No	75c	9,218$6,953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,264.59	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes	46c	9,000$4,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,140	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d26…7c05backed Yes	42c	9,000$3,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,780	46	32.6%15 W · 31 L	-5.4wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4dbc…65a2backed Yes	22c	8,701$1,938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,937.85	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec23…24fdbacked Yes	46c	8,669$3,988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,987.58	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x403a…376cbacked Yes	30c	8,642$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes	19c	8,380$1,586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,585.86	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0bc…488abacked Yes	15c	8,131$1,259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,258.86	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes	36c	8,066$2,929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,928.52	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c7…df00backed Yes	19c	7,895$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e56…d55ebacked No	76c	7,852$5,994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,858.01	158	46.2%73 W · 85 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Yes	19c	7,798$1,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,452.21	279	31.9%89 W · 190 L	+11.4wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71a6…b4d2backed Yes	13c	7,692$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-3.2wins	-0.15per pick	28cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1685…6de4backed Yes	20c	7,489$1,525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,525	272	39%106 W · 166 L	-12.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c64…2099backed Yes	19c	7,474$1,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,420	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffd4…73afbacked Yes	41c	7,266$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes	3c	7,159$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.51	455	28.4%129 W · 326 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?this page
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?No won
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event