TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3608…b13d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Boxing at 52.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3036.7%11 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+46.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13,457Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+215%+$28,928.07
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,350
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,350
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$9,462.96
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$9,961.54
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$6,397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,397.46
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$788Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$6,375.64
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,569.99
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$886Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$886.21
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,739Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,739.37
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,565Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,565
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$1,645
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$6,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,184.64
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,720
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,710Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$7,790
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$3,445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,445
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,652
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$689
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$1,089.94
Will Senegal vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$4,988Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+185.7%+$9,262.5
Will Nigeria vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$4,975Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+212.5%+$10,571.73
Will Senegal vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$999.9
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13,449Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+61.1%+$8,222.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.