TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,246
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$185,923

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,246 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes22c72,421$15,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,488.52425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c35,301$27,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,406.834,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No78c27,389$21,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,259.611,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes22c9,770$2,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,620.836331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Yes22c7,065$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,492.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+124.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes22c6,910$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,403.5733555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No17c5,537$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.5714132.6%46 W · 95 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No78c4,783$3,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,730.7610558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No53c4,627$2,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,462.6742043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No78c4,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12022451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed No21c3,274$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.3520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No78c3,167$2,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,466.0935942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No78c3,162$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,467.0286455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No78c3,162$2,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,467.0250850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No78c3,101$2,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,418.771258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de1…7e5ebacked No79c2,708$2,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,134.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fca…9d33backed Yes24c2,061$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.01650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+51.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes25c2,050$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed No69c1,849$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.8819252.1%100 W · 92 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed Yes72c1,630$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.71742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-40%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed No76c1,502$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.071816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3608…b13dbacked Yes24c1,434$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.943036.7%11 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+46.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No77c1,308$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.5476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes17c1,297$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.8922337.2%83 W · 140 L+20.1wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No78c1,265$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.841451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa52e…453fbacked No78c1,084$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.19650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+65.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No78c1,079$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.784940.8%20 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No78c1,024$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.5223751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…edcabacked Yes26c1,001$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.427044.3%31 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes22c908.91$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.5688838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked No52c905.76$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.969124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c846.42$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.4137144.5%165 W · 206 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8652…2adbbacked Yes24c824.21$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick27cpaid+116.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No79c812.04$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.515541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes30c806.79$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.3418740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Yes31c773.06$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.4122652.7%119 W · 107 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes22c769.04$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.071,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6cf…6bb8backed Yes22c682.74$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.742416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked No78c577.72$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.067266.7%48 W · 24 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes19c539.59$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.8911221.4%24 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No80c538.19$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.973,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a8…a3d3backed No78c512.56$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.85141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Yes21c505.48$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.337762.3%48 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34e8…100fbacked No78c498.2$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.592365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes23c489.34$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.7914620.5%30 W · 116 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked No53c488.64$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.2165036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3166…62a2backed Yes18c484.41$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.26850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No76c482.64$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.6425954.8%142 W · 117 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No60c468.46$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.9516341.1%67 W · 96 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f51…7b9ebacked Yes22c433.27$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.95560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+92.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb48e…d489backed Yes22c433.27$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.953125.8%8 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes23c422.99$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.7475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick27cpaid+184.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No78c419.41$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.5724653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No78c419.41$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.5723749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes72c411.13$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.221662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes72c402.94$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7345248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes24c401.27$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.8512712.6%16 W · 111 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-57.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No78c394.72$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.8821957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed No78c379.66$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.044072.5%29 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No80c374.61$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.412,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes72c343.09$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3417851.1%91 W · 87 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Yes73c337.84$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Yes30c319.46$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.6612639.7%50 W · 76 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes31c309.23$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.3722448.2%108 W · 116 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No78c306.04$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.711,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6496…09d0backed Yes17c299.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2496637.9%25 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbf5…53c9backed Yes29c296.63$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.683033.3%10 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-37.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked No78c292.89$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.8910958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda23…1d83backed No67c290.44$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe704…b250backed No9c276.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.49742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbef8…7445backed No79c268.59$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.18450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No25c268.32$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.818644.6%83 W · 103 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No78c262.96$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.112835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3208…6bedbacked Yes76c260.48$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.33366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No55c236.9$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.843,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes25c219.5$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.6348140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked No78c214.51$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.7520156.2%113 W · 88 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No78c214.51$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.7521953.4%117 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No79c213.24$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.622,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked No76c200$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15211951.3%61 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Yes24c190$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.419148.7%93 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0542…e195backed Yes26c184.49$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.724042.5%17 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Yes16c175.47$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14723552.8%124 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No25c173.15$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7187651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca1…5bfebacked Yes14c169.76$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1461338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+29.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No78c163$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1413643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ba…a1e4backed Yes18c161.38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.863542.9%15 W · 20 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+0.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No51c156.1$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.42,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes31c154.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.687830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.314,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes23c150$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.520050%100 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes23c150$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.545421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No56c149.89$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.621361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes48c145.07$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.712,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc516…3f8bbacked No71c139.2$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.23560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe467…593abacked Yes25c138.43$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.822470.8%17 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2944…f09dbacked Yes70c138.28$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb259…8a59backed Yes17c133.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.454626.1%12 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed No78c132.84$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.61540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.