TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb259…8a59

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4647.8%22 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.79
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.99
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+214.5%+$204.6
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$260
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$244
Will Montreal Canadiens advance to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$59.47
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$162.8
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$155
Will Minnesota Wild advance to the Conference Finals of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$172
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$284
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.46
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$681.65
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.15
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.88
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT4626.1%12 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.65
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Korea Republic leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.12
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5)backed Korea Republic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.84
Uzbekistan leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Spread: Ghana (-1.5)backed Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.9
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Algeria leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.65
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Norway leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.4
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$135.98
Egypt leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$128.81
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.99
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.99
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.4
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.06
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will Ben Griffin win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.42
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51
Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.4
Will Tyrrell Hatton win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.89
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.78
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.06
Will Chris Gotterup win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sepp Straka win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.91
Will Sungjae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.74
Will Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Corey Conners win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.33
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will J.J. Spaun win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.19
Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.16
Will Cameron Smith win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.5
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$171
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.07
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.44
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.09
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.87
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.23
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.92
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.