Fifa International · resolved market
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x947996d016c91c138f34eb5ebf0a67a27af1254fb93e603e48889c2f178ddd0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,845,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,233,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,845,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Yes | 11c | 221,263$24,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,583.74 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 154,470$19,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,652.74 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes | 14c | 142,857$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…5b07backed Yes | 13c | 114,452$14,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,645.15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad7…ae48backed Yes | 12c | 64,150$7,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,730.97 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 10c | 55,700$5,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,503.29 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…87e0backed Yes | 10c | 41,733$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 38,099$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.72 | 170 | 5.9%10 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2c…d7e6backed Yes | 12c | 36,429$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500.08 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Yes | 12c | 31,537$3,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,713 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 3c | 30,411$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.28 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 12c | 28,032$3,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,328.52 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ab…4408backed Yes | 19c | 26,270$5,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,108.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes | 0c | 26,033$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.03 | 146 | 8.2%12 W · 134 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 17c | 25,377$4,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,346.58 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed Yes | 13c | 24,021$3,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,122.78 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…b48cbacked Yes | 13c | 23,754$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…afd4backed Yes | 11c | 23,258$2,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.34 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x896e…53f2backed Yes | 13c | 22,876$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 15c | 22,006$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,201.39 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdae…c02ebacked Yes | 6c | 21,580$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.59 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b2…40cabacked Yes | 13c | 19,663$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 13c | 18,958$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.54 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 14c | 16,128$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.87 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4718…e2e8backed Yes | 14c | 15,871$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d16…f032backed Yes | 13c | 15,539$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.72 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes | 14c | 14,748$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.94 | 736 | 26.5%195 W · 541 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…b06abacked Yes | 14c | 14,286$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 13c | 14,279$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.27 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Yes | 1c | 13,638$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.38 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fb…7a6fbacked Yes | 16c | 12,500$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed No | 79c | 11,607$9,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.81 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x3566…ec5abacked Yes | 1c | 11,472$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.92 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Yes | 1c | 11,200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 95 | 3.2%3 W · 92 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cd…cc59backed Yes | 14c | 10,286$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce4b…6e08backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed Yes | 12c | 9,870$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.75 | 217 | 38.7%84 W · 133 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Yes | 20c | 9,022$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.44 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Yes | 4c | 9,000$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…8772backed Yes | 12c | 8,993$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.17 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…4312backed Yes | 12c | 7,949$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.48 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe823…2a61backed Yes | 13c | 7,755$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…3fd2backed Yes | 13c | 7,709$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef33…6be3backed Yes | 13c | 7,692$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…42e2backed Yes | 13c | 7,592$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Yes | 0c | 7,201$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 13c | 7,159$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.94 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b5…4c12backed Yes | 14c | 7,143$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -88.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215e…c999backed Yes | 14c | 7,143$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…650cbacked Yes | 8c | 7,000$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.56 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe26a…955fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,370$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…7f83backed Yes | 4c | 6,222$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…5a4ebacked Yes | 16c | 6,217$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 13c | 6,138$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.77 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Yes | 14c | 5,510$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.57 | 163 | 25.8%42 W · 121 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5a…0122backed Yes | 13c | 5,302$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes | 13c | 5,154$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked Yes | 13c | 4,669$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.02 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…9c9dbacked Yes | 15c | 4,667$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…02b4backed Yes | 2c | 4,515$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 7c | 4,502$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.35 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed Yes | 11c | 4,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4838…3535backed Yes | 15c | 4,281$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.74 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9eb…6a67backed Yes | 15c | 4,085$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.9 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 174 | 16.1%28 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 341 | 22.3%76 W · 265 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…776bbacked Yes | 13c | 3,846$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a25…b124backed Yes | 13c | 3,846$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b2…63cabacked Yes | 13c | 3,846$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…30fcbacked Yes | 7c | 3,801$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 220 | 32.3%71 W · 149 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f9…f9f7backed Yes | 11c | 3,778$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…9d9abacked Yes | 13c | 3,750$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.5 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…6b9cbacked Yes | 17c | 3,601$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.06 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 30.8%49 W · 110 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…3ae5backed Yes | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f65…55d2backed Yes | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Yes | 14c | 3,538$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6863…300bbacked Yes | 12c | 3,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 14c | 3,327$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.97 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 10c | 3,308$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.23 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad2…63b7backed Yes | 14c | 3,273$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.28 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…26aebacked Yes | 22c | 3,254$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,251$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed Yes | 2c | 3,245$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…05d3backed Yes | 13c | 3,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…68ebbacked Yes | 14c | 3,107$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 132 | 37.1%49 W · 83 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…f212backed Yes | 13c | 3,077$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a6…08bfbacked Yes | 1c | 3,008$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…6b17backed Yes | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4550…f741backed Yes | 14c | 2,857$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Yes | 14c | 2,721$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.39 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 11c | 2,683$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.08 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…d6fabacked Yes | 11c | 2,618$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 13c | 2,602$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.23 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4df…54dbbacked Yes | 11c | 2,600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.25 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…19e5backed Yes | 1c | 2,577$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5f…6b9cbacked Yes | 13c | 2,562$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e4…07b1backed Yes | 20c | 2,508$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1255…fa6fbacked Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?this page
- Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?No won
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.