TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,845,828
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,233,031

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,845,828 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x06f2…1269backed Yes11c221,263$24,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,583.7438333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes13c154,470$19,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,652.748,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes14c142,857$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0005749.1%28 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb41a…5b07backed Yes13c114,452$14,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,645.152240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad7…ae48backed Yes12c64,150$7,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,730.974355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes10c55,700$5,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,503.2932031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94e4…87e0backed Yes10c41,733$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0005523.6%13 W · 42 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c38,099$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.721705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b2c…d7e6backed Yes12c36,429$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,500.082045%9 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked Yes12c31,537$3,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7133324.2%8 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes3c30,411$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.2836939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes12c28,032$3,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,328.522,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ab…4408backed Yes19c26,270$5,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,108.5430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes0c26,033$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.031468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes17c25,377$4,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,346.581,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee17…6ea1backed Yes13c24,021$3,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,122.783622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6149…b48cbacked Yes13c23,754$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004535.6%16 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x63c2…afd4backed Yes11c23,258$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,558.341163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+71.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Yes13c22,876$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00017443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes15c22,006$3,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,201.3965835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdae…c02ebacked Yes6c21,580$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.5911033.6%37 W · 73 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b2…40cabacked Yes13c19,663$2,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.251216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+35.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes13c18,958$2,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,464.541,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbda1…827fbacked Yes14c16,128$2,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.873721.6%8 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4718…e2e8backed Yes14c15,871$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2224829.2%14 W · 34 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d16…f032backed Yes13c15,539$2,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.725639.3%22 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes14c14,748$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,061.9473626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…b06abacked Yes14c14,286$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes13c14,279$1,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,856.272,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Yes1c13,638$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.386842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5fb…7a6fbacked Yes16c12,500$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed No79c11,607$9,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,420.8134964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x3566…ec5abacked Yes1c11,472$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.92190%0 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes1c11,200$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6953.2%3 W · 92 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3cd…cc59backed Yes14c10,286$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce4b…6e08backed Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Yes12c9,870$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.7521738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Yes20c9,022$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.4456541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Yes4c9,000$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36527845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd7…8772backed Yes12c8,993$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.175518.2%10 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb242…4312backed Yes12c7,949$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.483818.4%7 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+58.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe823…2a61backed Yes13c7,755$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c09…3fd2backed Yes13c7,709$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002737%10 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef33…6be3backed Yes13c7,692$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009232.6%30 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7713…42e2backed Yes13c7,592$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987150%0 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Yes0c7,201$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023336.9%86 W · 147 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes13c7,159$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.9479231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59b5…4c12backed Yes14c7,143$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-88.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x215e…c999backed Yes14c7,143$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-26%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe944…650cbacked Yes8c7,000$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.5611133.3%37 W · 74 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe26a…955fbacked Yes1c6,370$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.961030%3 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick19cpaid-27.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4e2…7f83backed Yes4c6,222$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec14…5a4ebacked Yes16c6,217$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00060%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes13c6,138$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.772,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Yes14c5,510$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.5716325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes13c5,302$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007229.2%21 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick21cpaid+62.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes13c5,154$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670719.9%7 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2a…1fcabacked Yes13c4,669$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.028048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc40…9c9dbacked Yes15c4,667$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7005440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4791…02b4backed Yes2c4,515$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963013.3%4 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-44.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes7c4,502$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.3574034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes11c4,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49515127.8%42 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4838…3535backed Yes15c4,281$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.742433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9eb…6a67backed Yes15c4,085$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.92352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+81.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes0c4,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017416.1%28 W · 146 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-37.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4034122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5964…776bbacked Yes13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009443.6%41 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a25…b124backed Yes13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005018%9 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73b2…63cabacked Yes13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-77.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46d4…30fcbacked Yes7c3,801$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28522032.3%71 W · 149 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x02f9…f9f7backed Yes11c3,778$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001625%4 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea7…9d9abacked Yes13c3,750$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.522730.4%69 W · 158 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5fb…6b9cbacked Yes17c3,601$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.064362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+42.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015930.8%49 W · 110 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1506…3ae5backed Yes14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002825%7 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid+18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f65…55d2backed Yes14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005145.1%23 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes14c3,538$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6863…300bbacked Yes12c3,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009045.6%41 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes14c3,327$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.9795037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes10c3,308$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.2333337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad2…63b7backed Yes14c3,273$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.283212.5%4 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-61.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked Yes22c3,254$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7004129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes1c3,251$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4210420.2%21 W · 83 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+88.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed Yes2c3,245$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.97025.7%18 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-54.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc345…05d3backed Yes13c3,143$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002825%7 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Yes14c3,107$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43513237.1%49 W · 83 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0674…f212backed Yes13c3,077$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004228.6%12 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a6…08bfbacked Yes1c3,008$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.778438.1%32 W · 52 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae94…6b17backed Yes14c3,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42010956%61 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4550…f741backed Yes14c2,857$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed Yes14c2,721$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.3910624.5%26 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes11c2,683$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.0847032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…d6fabacked Yes11c2,618$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2886741.8%28 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes13c2,602$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.231,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4df…54dbbacked Yes11c2,600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.257835.9%28 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a14…19e5backed Yes1c2,577$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5f…6b9cbacked Yes13c2,562$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3335422.2%12 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e4…07b1backed Yes20c2,508$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018343.7%80 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1255…fa6fbacked Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-68.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.