TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0674…f212

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT4228.6%12 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$973.59
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$2,257.14
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$940
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$748.83
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$853Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$853
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$2,226.79
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$2,691.67
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$1,028.57
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$609.23
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Spain (-3.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.47
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+43.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$6,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,098.14
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+156.4%+$487.99
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$651.98
Hawks vs. Thunderbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$265.2
Pacers vs. Rocketsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Timberwolves vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$272
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$287.11
Suns vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Pistons vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+119.4%+$452.07
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+163.2%+$310
76ers vs. Thunderbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$186
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+100%+$200
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+809.1%+$445
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+194.1%+$431.64
Pistons vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+273.3%+$929.22
All 19 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-60.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+300%+$2,999.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,508Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.5%+$1,292
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$42.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$210
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$5,907Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$5,906.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.