Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Monday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5802ba241f74d9248bf3d72d33df5fcfa86611f6930cf3cd784512f157169184
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e40…4e93backed Yes | 1c | 3,540$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…4954backed Yes | 2c | 1,944$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 71c | 1,435$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.7 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 75c | 1,124$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.91 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32d2…2126backed Yes | 25c | 805.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 70c | 744.76$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.03 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed No | 76c | 620.07$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.48 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…b5d8backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 72c | 442.4$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.87 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a4…11c4backed Yes | 34c | 440$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Yes | 23c | 400$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…87e0backed Yes | 26c | 380.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Yes | 21c | 349.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 8c | 318.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe78a…cd4bbacked Yes | 5c | 300.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 7cpaid | +811.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe4…ff36backed Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…cf3ebacked No | 74c | 285.51$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf40…c76cbacked Yes | 8c | 245.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 28c | 244.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…4b54backed Yes | 32c | 217.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 77c | 213.82$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed No | 74c | 208.32$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb39…e932backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2180…dc32backed No | 79c | 190.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…8412backed Yes | 26c | 184.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…f212backed Yes | 25c | 170$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea98…8626backed Yes | 30c | 165$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…bf7fbacked Yes | 51c | 159.47$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf03…3f1dbacked Yes | 26c | 156.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…002bbacked No | 70c | 153.24$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 74c | 151.06$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7c…4d13backed No | 74c | 135.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +171.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…505ebacked No | 78c | 128.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa0…3895backed No | 74c | 126.02$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29e6…b3f2backed No | 75c | 125$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 62c | 119.23$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed No | 78c | 115.41$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 78c | 113.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…c730backed Yes | 36c | 108.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +191.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…c388backed Yes | 27c | 108.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4be…2424backed No | 39c | 105.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +158.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.94 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…9836backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…97f4backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef67…2a33backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…1ea9backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…3984backed Yes | 31c | 97.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…7a90backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 50c | 86.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed No | 69c | 82.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff8…5728backed Yes | 22c | 80.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…7b24backed Yes | 62c | 80.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…3633backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +226.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…54dcbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…aebebacked No | 75c | 78.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9aa…6a91backed Yes | 26c | 77.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ff…acadbacked Yes | 26c | 76.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 17c | 70.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 74c | 63.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 118 | 16.1%19 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b2…b7febacked Yes | 33c | 55.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a6…a88ebacked No | 68c | 51.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e67…77adbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…c69ebacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf72e…5928backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +7.5wins | +0.44per pick | 38cpaid | +130.5%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…914cbacked Yes | 34c | 44.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 31c | 42.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b332backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…ef2ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3710…2b8dbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +91%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked No | 67c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed No | 76c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 202 | 35.6%72 W · 130 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 47c | 34.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f3…86babacked No | 78c | 30.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…59f7backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3551…9aa9backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed No | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +16.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…755cbacked No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…28adbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92c8…0c5bbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca4b…9e65backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…99adbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…dd40backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa5…3f52backed No | 77c | 18.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…a9fcbacked No | 78c | 16.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 67c | 15.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -14.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0b…e18dbacked No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.