TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6fe4…ff36

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Fed Rates, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fed Rates at 53 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST2347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$126
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$503.87
Panthers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$364.77
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$226
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$251.85
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+185.7%+$371.43
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+58.7%+$234.92
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Lions vs. Ramsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$188
Spread: Texans (-10.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+177.8%+$133.33
Spread: Chiefs (-5.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$117.86
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$384
Spread: Chiefs (-4.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+100%+$200
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+61.3%+$114
Cardinals vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+49.3%+$147.76
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Chiefs vs. Cowboys: O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+100%+$100
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+117.4%+$234.78
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$211.43
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$264.31
Chelsea vs. Arsenal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+203%+$201
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$300
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Oklahoma (-1.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+96.1%+$148.92
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$84
US x Saudi security agreement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+112.8%+$106
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$250
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$294
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+278.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+278.5%+$556.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chris Eubank Jr. vs Conor Benn Nov 15, 2025backed Benn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+132.6%+$569.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sporting CP vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.