Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1d42dcfae39d796578cf040388f2ccac2a8f612e6193473db5dd18e656ed4f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,757,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,772,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,757,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 753 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 71c | 366,772$260,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,366.75 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 29c | 301,245$87,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,360.92 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 68c | 130,000$88,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,600 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 68c | 97,167$66,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,692.1 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 70c | 85,852$60,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,755.53 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 32c | 49,124$15,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,719.77 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 64c | 40,685$25,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,757.06 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed No | 33c | 35,693$11,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,778.61 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed No | 35c | 34,493$12,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,008.88 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 68c | 27,976$18,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,025.32 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 30c | 25,179$7,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,553.85 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked No | 34c | 24,513$8,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,258.07 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 30c | 24,227$7,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,268.06 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 66c | 21,509$14,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,246.01 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,800 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked No | 35c | 16,927$5,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,994.28 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 32c | 16,259$5,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,260.37 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Yes | 69c | 14,834$10,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,601.37 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 8c | 14,392$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.09 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 33c | 13,593$4,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,485.75 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed No | 34c | 12,014$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140.49 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 34c | 11,725$3,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,966.58 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 31c | 10,759$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.67 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 65c | 10,244$6,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,585.51 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 66c | 10,147$6,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.93 | 168 | 48.8%82 W · 86 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 66c | 9,661$6,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,253.67 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed No | 1c | 8,877$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.77 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed No | 33c | 8,391$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.03 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed Yes | 68c | 8,088$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.24 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 67c | 8,065$5,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.76 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…fd61backed Yes | 67c | 7,983$5,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.27 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 65c | 7,786$5,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695.71 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed No | 19c | 7,727$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.1 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 32c | 7,500$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 69c | 7,500$5,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Yes | 68c | 7,353$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.94 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 40c | 7,335$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.85 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 64c | 6,631$4,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.32 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 66c | 6,583$4,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254.13 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 31c | 6,314$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.06 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 20c | 6,306$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.66 | 344 | 28.8%99 W · 245 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 70c | 6,297$4,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.24 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed No | 32c | 6,250$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 69c | 5,889$4,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.68 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 68c | 5,720$3,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.47 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed No | 33c | 5,530$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed No | 35c | 5,132$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.1 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 30c | 5,100$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.97 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a65…8d8fbacked Yes | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Yes | 69c | 4,815$3,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.31 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked No | 30c | 4,689$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.67 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 3c | 4,600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 66c | 4,302$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.15 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 70c | 4,300$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.29 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Yes | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 68c | 4,000$2,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.98 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…d0bbbacked No | 32c | 4,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.95 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 66c | 4,000$2,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.42 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 33c | 3,333$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.89 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 33c | 3,268$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.35 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 33c | 3,074$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.12 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 65c | 3,034$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.9 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed No | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Yes | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked No | 3c | 2,876$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 66c | 2,853$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.84 | 139 | 39.6%55 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae59…83a2backed No | 30c | 2,660$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 75c | 2,433$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.53 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 33c | 2,400$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.85 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed No | 2c | 2,300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 67c | 2,225$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.4 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 35c | 2,183$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.5 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 67c | 2,178$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.93 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed No | 35c | 2,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.96 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed No | 34c | 1,983$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed No | 33c | 1,952$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 65c | 1,900$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.41 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…2dfabacked No | 31c | 1,899$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.81 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Yes | 66c | 1,877$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.65 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,796$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.7 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed No | 33c | 1,687$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.9 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…41d5backed Yes | 62c | 1,612$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.51 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 58c | 1,600$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab0…6e92backed Yes | 69c | 1,574$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.89 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 55cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked No | 39c | 1,543$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked No | 33c | 1,520$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 1c | 1,519$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…2190backed No | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 35c | 1,505$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.7 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?this page
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.