Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52228ac6a99a18d5e2f9d5e843ae6d220c6c0d81731312c68f266115ada12115

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 30, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,027,967
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,055,159

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,027,967 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 507 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes	15c	1,226,445$180,833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180,832.77	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes	15c	197,654$29,825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,825	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78c6…4710backed Yes	14c	100,000$13,985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,984.55	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes	13c	95,520$12,308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,307.87	178	37.6%67 W · 111 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Yes	13c	80,662$10,786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,786.04	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.26per pick	37cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes	15c	64,939$9,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,700.33	1,006	46.6%469 W · 537 L	-20.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	14c	55,375$7,602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,602.07	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes	14c	45,281$6,486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,486.44	92	46.7%43 W · 49 L	+9.1wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	14c	35,996$4,876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,875.79	1,212	41.7%505 W · 707 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes	13c	35,000$4,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,549.99	145	44.8%65 W · 80 L	-11.4wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes	14c	25,608$3,504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,504	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdec1…28bdbacked Yes	14c	25,100$3,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,513.99	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a5…59e7backed Yes	2c	23,291$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.68	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Yes	12c	22,828$2,826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,826	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes	13c	21,448$2,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,840	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes	13c	19,999$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,599.92	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…daeebacked Yes	14c	18,778$2,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,628.97	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Yes	14c	18,208$2,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,479.97	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes	15c	14,768$2,182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,181.52	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-3.9wins	-0.15per pick	39cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes	15c	14,483$2,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,150	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Yes	14c	14,286$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-4.2wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x223e…fc48backed Yes	14c	14,263$1,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,996.76	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	51cpaid	-26%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2935…96f7backed Yes	13c	14,161$1,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,779.56	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	18cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae11…b96bbacked Yes	14c	12,823$1,795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,795.22	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8283…29aebacked Yes	13c	12,061$1,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,583.8	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	+87.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae59…83a2backed Yes	15c	11,575$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	34cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5df…382dbacked Yes	16c	8,821$1,381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,381.43	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8130…85e3backed Yes	13c	8,253$1,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,099	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes	14c	8,000$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120	197	29.4%58 W · 139 L	-9.6wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-23%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes	14c	7,600$1,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,064	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa573…87c5backed Yes	14c	7,200$1,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,008	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.14per pick	40cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b89…8c32backed Yes	14c	7,143$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8452…7610backed Yes	14c	6,992$979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$978.89	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e82…c878backed Yes	14c	6,429$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-2.5wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ad5…d434backed Yes	13c	6,000$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	13c	5,655$731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.19	228	34.2%78 W · 150 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe137…0c01backed Yes	15c	5,501$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	13c	5,100$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663	680	26.3%179 W · 501 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83bf…c05cbacked Yes	14c	5,064$709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$708.92	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c1…c739backed Yes	14c	5,050$707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$707	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+62.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5132…150dbacked Yes	14c	5,000$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes	11c	5,000$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	178	33.7%60 W · 118 L	+8.2wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes	13c	5,000$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.99	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	+5.6wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8aeb…6f92backed Yes	14c	4,971$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes	14c	4,621$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Yes	14c	4,587$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$665.09	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa34…c16ebacked Yes	13c	4,481$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.43	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes	4c	4,460$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.25	77	31.2%24 W · 53 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Yes	12c	4,167$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes	14c	4,023$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577	20	30%6 W · 14 L	+2.7wins	+0.13per pick	17cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54fd…4ac3backed Yes	13c	4,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07a9…32c8backed Yes	13c	3,846$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62e8…1f24backed Yes	15c	3,594$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.3	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes	14c	3,571$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-5.0wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes	14c	3,571$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	139	44.6%62 W · 77 L	-9.0wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11e2…8ea7backed Yes	5c	3,300$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	27cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes	16c	3,230$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.2	114	46.5%53 W · 61 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8da5…25edbacked Yes	15c	3,204$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.82	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Yes	9c	3,162$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	112	34.8%39 W · 73 L	+8.5wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+10%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes	13c	3,000$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	204	48.5%99 W · 105 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Yes	14c	3,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes	3c	2,941$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.65	130	5.4%7 W · 123 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes	7c	2,870$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	90	43.3%39 W · 51 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes	14c	2,857$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c9…3a79backed Yes	14c	2,857$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes	14c	2,500$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	256	48%123 W · 133 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb3b…962fbacked Yes	7c	2,200$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.27per pick	6cpaid	+285.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes	14c	2,143$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes	14c	2,054$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$287.56	420	48.6%204 W · 216 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec8a…0bf1backed Yes	14c	2,054$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.8	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes	14c	2,000$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.5	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4533…d575backed Yes	12c	2,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	+50.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes	14c	2,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	201	40.8%82 W · 119 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	14c	2,000$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+3.4wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x646a…3dafbacked Yes	13c	2,000$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	-7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce5…02b3backed Yes	2c	2,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes	8c	1,923$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes	13c	1,906$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.75	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-11%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Yes	14c	1,900$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes	6c	1,807$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	182	39.6%72 W · 110 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	13c	1,800$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236	233	25.8%60 W · 173 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb864…350dbacked Yes	13c	1,800$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.39per pick	28cpaid	+450%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a26…0498backed Yes	6c	1,800$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-3.8wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes	14c	1,786$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	50	42%21 W · 29 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9820…8cb6backed Yes	13c	1,604$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe8a5…3958backed Yes	13c	1,582$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.14per pick	11cpaid	+316.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes	13c	1,538$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	82	37.8%31 W · 51 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd82…6adcbacked Yes	13c	1,538$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	39cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes	12c	1,500$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	607	28%170 W · 437 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b22…c776backed Yes	14c	1,443$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6125…fb3abacked Yes	14c	1,429$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes	14c	1,429$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	82	59.8%49 W · 33 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d52…bbe8backed Yes	16c	1,400$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes	6c	1,300$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a23…bfddbacked Yes	14c	1,276$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.59	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ba…c976backed Yes	12c	1,263$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.59	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…02fabacked Yes	2c	1,232$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8fa6…4465backed Yes	14c	1,214$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes	13c	1,200$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152	225	34.2%77 W · 148 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes	12c	1,199$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.99	235	31.1%73 W · 162 L	-14.3wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?this page
Will Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?No won
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event