Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecf85c3d069f37147b3932208e20061e5f11347ae9f8b5194f6e29eedd71508d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,726,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,736,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,726,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 372 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 23c | 1,229,531$278,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278,194.79 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 505,828$394,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,735.55 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 133,795$103,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,371.99 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 78c | 63,000$48,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,140 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 22c | 55,929$12,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,555.8 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked No | 77c | 42,666$32,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,790.96 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Yes | 23c | 30,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 77c | 28,907$22,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,648.7 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 77c | 26,695$20,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,139.85 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 21c | 25,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,250 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 24,396$18,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,467.52 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 22,216$17,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,468.87 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 79c | 14,889$11,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.72 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 23c | 14,550$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 78c | 13,707$10,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,048.14 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…245dbacked No | 80c | 12,500$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 78c | 10,641$8,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.59 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 78c | 10,090$7,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.66 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 20c | 8,576$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.25 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 19c | 6,071$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.06 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked No | 78c | 5,695$4,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.55 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Yes | 19c | 5,263$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 77c | 4,722$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.67 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 78c | 4,444$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.68 | 481 | 50.9%245 W · 236 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 77c | 4,400$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.83 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 77c | 4,360$3,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.8 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 21c | 4,236$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.49 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 79c | 4,000$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…daeebacked Yes | 21c | 3,952$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…0c01backed Yes | 22c | 3,694$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 6c | 3,459$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 172 | 34.3%59 W · 113 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 20c | 3,423$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.61 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3273…5a11backed Yes | 19c | 3,158$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 17c | 3,051$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.45 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce5…02b3backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa7…52b4backed Yes | 19c | 2,842$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 22c | 2,605$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.13 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…ebecbacked Yes | 3c | 2,551$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…bc05backed Yes | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2827backed Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 20c | 2,400$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…5366backed No | 76c | 2,371$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 22c | 2,349$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.96 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 80c | 2,300$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.04 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 21c | 2,287$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.25 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 4c | 2,228$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 78c | 2,117$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.01 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…3dafbacked Yes | 20c | 2,000$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed Yes | 21c | 2,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 77c | 1,913$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.31 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 23c | 1,857$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.09 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xae59…83a2backed Yes | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…6258backed Yes | 6c | 1,712$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,502$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.33 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 8c | 1,343$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 255 | 30.2%77 W · 178 L | -22.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 79c | 1,324$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.09 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed No | 77c | 1,290$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.7 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Yes | 20c | 1,215$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,165$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 77c | 1,142$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.06 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 77c | 1,110$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.97 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 77c | 1,086$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.01 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked No | 78c | 969.25$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.54 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 78c | 967$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 78c | 957.16$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.06 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…25edbacked Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Yes | 20c | 944.9$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Yes | 32c | 899.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…95b0backed Yes | 13c | 894.85$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…fd34backed Yes | 20c | 851.7$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…0370backed Yes | 20c | 851.6$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.32 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 78c | 800$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed No | 77c | 778.61$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.19 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked Yes | 21c | 767$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.07 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 77c | 754.13$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.02 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 78c | 750$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fa…1780backed No | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d52…bbe8backed Yes | 24c | 682.08$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…110bbacked No | 80c | 550$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed No | 78c | 514.48$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.87 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked No | 71c | 500$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…4155backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b0…ccc3backed Yes | 21c | 478.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…3a79backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 20c | 473.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 16c | 437$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 250 | 52%130 W · 120 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?Yes won
- Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.