TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0775…eca8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
262
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Serie A, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 60 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST17428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 174 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,408Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,408
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$330
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$450
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$520
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+300%+$300
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$479.92
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+316.7%+$316.67
Crystal Palace FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+222.6%+$690
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$975Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$975
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$478Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+122.6%+$585.83
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,015Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,015
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 174 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2755.6%15 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+39.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+685.1%+$1,141.25
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$270.83
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$293.48
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$230.77
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+85.2%+$234.26
Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+112.8%+$281.91
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$300
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$445.16
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+153.5%+$307.05
Spread: Rams (-14.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Rams (-8.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+104.1%+$307.04
Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+85.2%+$425.93
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+112.8%+$563.83
Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+122.2%+$611.11
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+117.4%+$586.96
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2050%10 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+47.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$750
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+63.9%+$453.93
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$713Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$475.33
VfB Stuttgart vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$287
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,499Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+134.9%+$3,370.12
Will RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$390
RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+186%+$372.03
RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+81.8%+$245.45
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+76%+$152.09
1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,081Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+74.9%+$809.67
1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$518.57
1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+89.1%+$356.53
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+1,095.3%+$1,314.41
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$800
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,250
Will Newcastle United FC vs. PSV end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$649
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Newcastle United FC vs. PSV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+100%+$500
Newcastle United FC vs. PSV: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Newcastle United FC vs. PSV: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+614.3%+$307.14
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-66.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,420
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$158.4
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+44.9%+$561.59
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)backed Racing Club de Lens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+90.9%+$610.66
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Lille OSC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$997
Will FC Metz vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Metz win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$1,260
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$3,114
Real Madrid CF vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+284.6%+$284.62
Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85.2%+$201.89
Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+35.1%+$120.8
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.42per pick30cpaid+123.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+87.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+31.6%+$315.79
Rio Ave FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+143.9%+$192.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.