Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee0bc20905455516c16cb00a66025683c792f528af2a2597db9eca745c0c148c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked No | 4c | 6,796$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.17 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 9c | 3,936$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.37 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 3,026$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 15c | 2,791$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.72 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 25c | 2,543$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.81 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 15c | 2,110$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.65 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.99 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 75c | 1,292$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.05 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 12c | 1,136$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.95 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 77c | 776.67$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.67 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 25c | 746.58$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.64 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 74c | 600$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.3 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 12c | 517$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked No | 13c | 344.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 26c | 320$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 22c | 302.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed No | 25c | 249.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.33 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b28…614bbacked Yes | 76c | 163.16$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 25c | 149.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 73c | 137$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Yes | 75c | 133.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 25c | 129.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 77c | 116.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 25c | 112$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…9108backed Yes | 73c | 95.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 16c | 82.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099a…f32bbacked Yes | 75c | 74.79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked No | 26c | 69.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 78c | 58.33$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc0…55ebbacked Yes | 76c | 47.37$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 73c | 46.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…dd3bbacked Yes | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 73c | 30.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Yes | 66c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…bf25backed Yes | 73c | 24.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 87 | 82.8%72 W · 15 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…ba8ebacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes | 75c | 15.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 75c | 14.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-17?this page
- Will Rio Ave FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?No won
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.