TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2ed1…ba8e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 60 out of 100; worst Champions League at 33.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hull City AFC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Watford FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Swansea City AFC vs. Preston North End FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.07
Wrexham AFC vs. Portsmouth FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.07
Middlesbrough FC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$46.67
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+66.7%+$27.33
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.7%+$43.31
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+100%+$55
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+75.4%+$49.79
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$28
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST100%0 W · 10 L-5.3wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$138
Will Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$68
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$55
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$98
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+58.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST7100%7 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+98.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.