Premier League · resolved market
Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x926c4e7bb12373c0d0a617220b927957762a7a7cf37f291f3906db8eda848a12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 38c | 3,801$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.84 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 1,266$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.98 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 860.78$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.27 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb989…9908backed Yes | 60c | 589.47$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 56c | 540.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.2 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d2…a62dbacked Yes | 66c | 365.21$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.21 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa296…743dbacked Yes | 59c | 333.51$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.51 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed No | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…8ff0backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed No | 13c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 109.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5876…793fbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 46c | 88.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked No | 32c | 70.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…ba8ebacked Yes | 60c | 68.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 30c | 60.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes | 50c | 59.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 40c | 50.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 50c | 50.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8b…2ce7backed No | 43c | 39.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00eb…339abacked Yes | 52c | 38.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 35.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Yes | 54c | 29.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…45aebacked Yes | 59c | 29.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Southampton FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Leicester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.