TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x80d2…a62d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST2755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dark Passage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$96.6
LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports (BO3) - TCL Playoffsbacked Dark Passage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$357
LoL: DRX Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.1%+$103.19
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+52.5%+$156.3
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+42.9%+$60
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+48.6%+$116.54
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$220
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ground Zero Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+117.4%+$169.04
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$312.73
LoL: DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 3 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$340
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.07
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.8%+$127.73
LoL: GnG Amazigh vs 3BL Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked GnG Amazigh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+64.1%+$63.56
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$286.08
LoL: DRX vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3) - LCK Cup Play-Inbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+116.4%+$139.72
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+49.4%+$113.02
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$200
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+47.1%+$142.97
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+69.5%+$42.29
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$48.8
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+54.1%+$54.12
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$160
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+143.9%+$259.02
Bulls vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+156.4%+$187.69
Bulls vs. Nets: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$130
Jazz vs. Magic: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+90.5%+$36.19
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+78.6%+$141.43
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+319.3%+$255.42
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+100%+$47.11
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Suns vs. Hawksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$52
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$103.03
Atalanta BC vs. US Cremonese: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$103.53
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$444
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+178%+$958.71
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$207.34
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$241.79
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$69
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 11 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,638Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+123.3%+$4,485
T20 World Cup: Canada vs UAE (Game 1)backed UAE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+65.1%+$196.46
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs South Africa (Game 1)backed Afghanistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40.12
T20 World Cup: Pakistan vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$80
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+47.9%+$157.97
T20 World Cup: Oman vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Oman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$180
T20 World Cup: Italy vs Scotland (Game 1)backed Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.74
T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+86.1%+$334.16
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.83
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$68.43
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$180.76
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+90.8%+$72.54
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$46.5
Will Valencia CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$66.22
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+525.5%+$664.71
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$46.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+38.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$53.91
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$307.45
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+64.5%+$295.12
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.63
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+47.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Global Esports vs Gen.G Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+43.2%+$55.5
Valorant: Paper Rex vs T1 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$140.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$89.39
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+117.4%+$158.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,163.51
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: San Diego Gulls vs. Abbotsford Canucksbacked San Diego Gulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.