Australian A League · resolved market
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa54ca8ff5251160a0b91bdba4b8899317fd58bd2813bb5485b765d4cff423f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fa6…b56abacked No | 55c | 22,642$12,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,453.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a8…2d7bbacked No | 55c | 18,651$10,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,258.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 35c | 14,457$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,001.24 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 55c | 7,743$4,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,258.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 4,031$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.39 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Yes | 44c | 2,281$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.51 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +6.2wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4867backed Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 62c | 1,790$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.57 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 8c | 1,651$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.72 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 12c | 1,000$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.84 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…7708backed Yes | 45c | 971.22$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…3f9cbacked No | 55c | 963.64$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde73…1df9backed Yes | 45c | 888.11$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 49c | 871.9$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.77 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 44c | 800.14$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.81 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 3c | 733.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Yes | 48c | 625.06$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 3c | 552$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc1…5da4backed Yes | 45c | 444.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…50c3backed Yes | 45c | 425.71$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 44c | 400$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.05 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 74c | 360.07$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed No | 3c | 335$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 60c | 329.9$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.88 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce0e…fb2ebacked Yes | 48c | 325.96$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d2…a62dbacked Yes | 46c | 293.48$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 290$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.12 | 139 | 33.8%47 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x485d…fc8abacked Yes | 55c | 273.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed No | 56c | 267.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked No | 56c | 232.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 46c | 201.58$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.45 | 148 | 43.9%65 W · 83 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 53c | 188.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +19.0wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Yes | 53c | 188.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +13.1wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 71+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 79c | 184.63$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca5…a81dbacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 44c | 167.09$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.57 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…2087backed Yes | 46c | 165.22$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 38c | 163$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 43c | 150.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…a94abacked Yes | 45c | 142.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 55c | 122.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +8.1wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4a75…e444backed No | 57c | 111.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a51…cfeebacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes | 45c | 99.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 44c | 95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 45c | 90.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 90.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e7…51d6backed Yes | 45c | 87.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Yes | 62c | 82.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9819…105fbacked Yes | 47c | 77.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7037…7cc8backed Yes | 77c | 66.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 45c | 62.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46b6…d6d2backed No | 56c | 57.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 56c | 50.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…38cbbacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0f…84b9backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…5399backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 54c | 49.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…41d9backed Yes | 45c | 46.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +178.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a47…cfbbbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81dc…45a1backed No | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 60c | 42.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 49c | 37.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +22.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…f9b8backed Yes | 51c | 37.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +80%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d04…1ef9backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…8860backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe139…84b4backed No | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 46c | 30.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 62c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x701b…0298backed Yes | 68c | 29.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed No | 55c | 27.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…5486backed No | 52c | 27.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 55c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c79…ea52backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…4662backed Yes | 63c | 25.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…cb63backed Yes | 48c | 20.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 55c | 20.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…de18backed Yes | 70c | 16.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-01-26?this page
- Will Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.