Lol · resolved market
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0795b8cfb8b66c4876d1c8de100b5da33fd622b8acaf81662b6703a3bb346daa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ground Zero Gamingof Ground Zero Gaming, MVK Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,381
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,381 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf201…527ebacked MVK Esports | 1c | 13,629$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.29 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…1094backed MVK Esports | 8c | 10,024$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.07 | 206 | 21.8%45 W · 161 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked MVK Esports | 1c | 7,332$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Ground Zero Gaming | 79c | 4,712$3,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.26 | 701 | 62.2%436 W · 265 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed MVK Esports | 4c | 4,051$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.51 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked MVK Esports | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed MVK Esports | 13c | 1,980$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.4 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…097ebacked MVK Esports | 54c | 1,494$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.51 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MVK Esports | 55c | 1,214$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.36 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed MVK Esports | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 198 | 39.9%79 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed MVK Esports | 18c | 896.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed MVK Esports | 9c | 829.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked MVK Esports | 48c | 822.88$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.19 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked MVK Esports | 3c | 700$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…6b89backed MVK Esports | 6c | 666.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 413 | 47.7%197 W · 216 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…85c5backed MVK Esports | 57c | 634.38$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 398 | 61.8%246 W · 152 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked MVK Esports | 54c | 568.48$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.98 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed MVK Esports | 7c | 524.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed MVK Esports | 6c | 515$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 392 | 39%153 W · 239 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed MVK Esports | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,183 | 52%615 W · 568 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed MVK Esports | 55c | 464.64$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.5 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked MVK Esports | 59c | 457.02$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Ground Zero Gaming | 46c | 424.63$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…5298backed MVK Esports | 50c | 403.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 143 | 63.6%91 W · 52 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8c…ec8fbacked MVK Esports | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d2…a62dbacked Ground Zero Gaming | 46c | 313.04$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.04 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MVK Esports | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.18 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…b6debacked MVK Esports | 50c | 293.92$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.02 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…6323backed MVK Esports | 5c | 282.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 218 | 10.1%22 W · 196 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…c4b2backed MVK Esports | 52c | 269.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.96 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…ad34backed MVK Esports | 38c | 264.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 121 | 37.2%45 W · 76 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…b93cbacked MVK Esports | 18c | 259.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfa…63d5backed Ground Zero Gaming | 73c | 255.39$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed MVK Esports | 20c | 248.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Ground Zero Gaming | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 210 | 59%124 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…2a1fbacked Ground Zero Gaming | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 226 | 46.5%105 W · 121 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked MVK Esports | 10c | 211.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 414 | 53.4%221 W · 193 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Ground Zero Gaming | 46c | 210$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.7 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked MVK Esports | 8c | 204.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed MVK Esports | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed MVK Esports | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 840 | 50.1%421 W · 419 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…d194backed MVK Esports | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Ground Zero Gaming | 52c | 192.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 508 | 45.3%230 W · 278 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd795…6fcdbacked Ground Zero Gaming | 21c | 190$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.1 | 314 | 35.7%112 W · 202 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7301…6b21backed Ground Zero Gaming | 53c | 183$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed MVK Esports | 57c | 175.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Ground Zero Gaming | 50c | 165.57$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.78 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…e272backed Ground Zero Gaming | 50c | 160.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 246 | 49.2%121 W · 125 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked MVK Esports | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked MVK Esports | 38c | 125.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 466 | 37.6%175 W · 291 L | -19.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed MVK Esports | 48c | 121.61$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe49d…c3dbbacked Ground Zero Gaming | 52c | 113.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.92 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MVK Esports | 54c | 105.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed MVK Esports | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Ground Zero Gaming | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 1,048 | 46.1%483 W · 565 L | -43.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ground Zero Gaming | 45c | 85.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7b06backed MVK Esports | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…ce69backed Ground Zero Gaming | 51c | 73.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked Ground Zero Gaming | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MVK Esports | 55c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Ground Zero Gaming | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MVK Esports | 35c | 66.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Ground Zero Gaming | 76c | 65.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 457 | 39.6%181 W · 276 L | -37.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked MVK Esports | 53c | 56.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 431 | 38.1%164 W · 267 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…642dbacked MVK Esports | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed MVK Esports | 25c | 43.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe454…8b7dbacked Ground Zero Gaming | 46c | 43.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | -10.5wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MVK Esports | 47c | 41.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf60c…f540backed Ground Zero Gaming | 59c | 33.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Ground Zero Gaming | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked MVK Esports | 57c | 27.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e0…b300backed Ground Zero Gaming | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf585…b77abacked Ground Zero Gaming | 75c | 21.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…a92dbacked Ground Zero Gaming | 48c | 21.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…136bbacked Ground Zero Gaming | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +79%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ee…26babacked Ground Zero Gaming | 61c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed MVK Esports | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd0…26fcbacked Ground Zero Gaming | 74c | 14.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: MVK (-1.5) vs Ground Zero Gaming (+1.5)Ground Zero Gaming won
- LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular SeasonGround Zero Gaming won
- LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs MVK Esports - Game 1 WinnerMVK Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.