TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd795…6fcd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
432
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT31435.7%112 W · 202 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 314 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.07
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$262.09
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.99
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.97
LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dynasty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$274.99
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.44
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 4 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$350
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 3 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.99
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 4 Winnerbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$71.48
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates - Game 4 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Showing 25 of 314 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$163
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+203%+$670
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.5
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.25
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.5
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.75
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.99
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$197.99
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$243
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$1,719.91
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$123
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$59
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$138
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Netherlands vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$88
Spread: Germany (-1.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$282
Brazil vs. Japan: Japan 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$171.99
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT3050%15 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$152.99
Counter-Strike: BIG vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs K27 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.43
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Ursa (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+115.2%+$77.39
Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$562
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$141.02
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$89.01
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnerbacked megoshort · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$72.72
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+143.9%+$215.85
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+81.8%+$122.73
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+28.2%+$42.31
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked L1ga Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs AVULUS - Game 1 Winnerbacked AVULUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+376.2%+$237
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO1)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+53.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$34.8
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+177.8%+$32
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$111
All 5 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid-30.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$106
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.