Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdaabd5cd63551f73e6f046fc3fadd410c324ffa92a755660a4cfd08d030a619
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,178,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $971,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,178,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 868 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes | 4c | 38,281$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.47 | 820 | 6.6%54 W · 766 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1022…f0cfbacked No | 57c | 35,705$20,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,404.39 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes | 58c | 30,908$18,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,000 | 246 | 6.1%15 W · 231 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…46f2backed Yes | 24c | 26,170$6,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,308.42 | 481 | 6.7%32 W · 449 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…0b6bbacked No | 63c | 23,643$14,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,672.64 | 248 | 73%181 W · 67 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 42c | 23,437$9,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,871.76 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…a448backed Yes | 39c | 14,644$5,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,748.1 | 285 | 34.4%98 W · 187 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Yes | 8c | 14,249$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Yes | 13c | 13,295$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 1c | 10,917$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.61 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 34c | 9,762$3,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.14 | 538 | 17.3%93 W · 445 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aca…c734backed Yes | 25c | 9,729$2,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,410.26 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…2c21backed Yes | 39c | 9,223$3,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,613.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +218.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Yes | 17c | 9,151$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.34 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…9e3fbacked Yes | 59c | 9,144$5,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,403.48 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…568ebacked Yes | 35c | 8,633$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,056.91 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c4…7b11backed Yes | 44c | 8,063$3,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,509.06 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…8218backed Yes | 70c | 8,020$5,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,586.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5884…9466backed Yes | 25c | 7,780$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 58c | 7,215$4,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.95 | 546 | 75.1%410 W · 136 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 21c | 6,952$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.04 | 796 | 6.5%52 W · 744 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…2132backed No | 58c | 6,902$3,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910.72 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…a88dbacked Yes | 31c | 6,522$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…81e6backed Yes | 17c | 6,288$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.09 | 70 | 5.7%4 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe31…5ce8backed Yes | 53c | 6,234$3,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,280.7 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0228…a700backed Yes | 14c | 6,125$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67f…31cfbacked Yes | 9c | 6,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes | 18c | 6,000$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.34 | 457 | 15.1%69 W · 388 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 42c | 5,839$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.84 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…0328backed No | 69c | 5,791$3,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.7 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15c2…ebc0backed Yes | 19c | 5,271$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 212 | 11.8%25 W · 187 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…acc4backed Yes | 28c | 5,207$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…eaaabacked Yes | 25c | 5,170$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.56 | 296 | 8.1%24 W · 272 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…fabdbacked Yes | 62c | 5,064$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.7 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8a…acdcbacked Yes | 43c | 5,044$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163.17 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -64%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…6fdebacked Yes | 36c | 4,970$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…da5abacked No | 35c | 4,944$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 69c | 4,643$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,201.04 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64fa…2f1fbacked Yes | 65c | 4,342$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,838.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de1…6707backed Yes | 27c | 4,260$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 25c | 4,199$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.17 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b63…1147backed Yes | 52c | 4,141$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Yes | 21c | 4,092$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4d…bfa0backed Yes | 28c | 3,994$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99fd…9028backed Yes | 15c | 3,598$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.13 | 121 | 12.4%15 W · 106 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16d6…7268backed Yes | 46c | 3,587$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 44c | 3,435$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.64 | 751 | 22.2%167 W · 584 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb031…0106backed Yes | 5c | 3,210$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…4800backed Yes | 19c | 3,170$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.95 | 686 | 15.7%108 W · 578 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e6…fb8ebacked Yes | 33c | 3,084$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes | 28c | 2,931$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.41 | 181 | 16%29 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…05ddbacked Yes | 46c | 2,912$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0234…62dabacked Yes | 30c | 2,895$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.16 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x148e…bb48backed Yes | 51c | 2,894$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.79 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 41c | 2,837$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.57 | 234 | 64.5%151 W · 83 L | +23.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…4927backed Yes | 23c | 2,818$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…b88abacked Yes | 50c | 2,816$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…3308backed Yes | 18c | 2,800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 16c | 2,751$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.74 | 782 | 8.7%68 W · 714 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a06…d112backed Yes | 18c | 2,728$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7f…8c3cbacked Yes | 22c | 2,707$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.7 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked No | 71c | 2,703$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.13 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…4615backed Yes | 40c | 2,693$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.69 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e4…7569backed Yes | 22c | 2,667$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.07 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…c181backed Yes | 22c | 2,664$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.96 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467b…82c3backed Yes | 31c | 2,569$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -65%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Yes | 27c | 2,558$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 25c | 2,534$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.9 | 186 | 8.6%16 W · 170 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 36c | 2,531$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.22 | 439 | 33%145 W · 294 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 24c | 2,528$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.91 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408c…8816backed Yes | 59c | 2,500$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf014…d442backed Yes | 47c | 2,267$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.21 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc2…099cbacked Yes | 24c | 2,242$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.73 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -85.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b2…15b5backed Yes | 20c | 2,034$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -56%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d4…c167backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 177 | 23.2%41 W · 136 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…9b35backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 66 | 6.1%4 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0744…b4cbbacked Yes | 26c | 2,000$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 73 | 13.7%10 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed Yes | 28c | 1,981$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.11 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +217.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80b5…9631backed Yes | 28c | 1,948$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…4466backed Yes | 17c | 1,904$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.75 | 423 | 12.5%53 W · 370 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 67c | 1,860$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.27 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…bd3fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,843$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 69c | 1,833$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.54 | 315 | 65.1%205 W · 110 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…bc03backed Yes | 19c | 1,825$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.75 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 26c | 1,786$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.29 | 788 | 11.5%91 W · 697 L | -33.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c54…2d86backed Yes | 27c | 1,777$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.91 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +158.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…ee36backed Yes | 62c | 1,776$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5369…aac5backed Yes | 47c | 1,746$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.9 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…e977backed Yes | 35c | 1,682$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.57 | 590 | 9.2%54 W · 536 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…642abacked Yes | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +71%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Yes | 43c | 1,611$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.8 | 344 | 27%93 W · 251 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b91…f577backed Yes | 14c | 1,567$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.37 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x952c…be27backed No | 50c | 1,535$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.21 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…2f8bbacked No | 79c | 1,526$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…9e7cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,516$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.08 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424a…1b92backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,480$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.2 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2982…5a7cbacked Yes | 47c | 1,478$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.63 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes | 19c | 1,449$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.12 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.