TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x952c…be27

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
167
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tweets, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 51 out of 100; worst Asian League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT6822.1%15 W · 53 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.38
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.06
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.3
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$781Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$781.14
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.97
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,096.03
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$494.67
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,134.33
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+63%+$139.2
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$143
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$3,506Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$3,506.4
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$4,198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+318.2%+$13,356.53
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$7,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$7,475.38
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$194.99
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$164.69
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$96.46
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$72.95
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,806Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+109.1%+$1,971
Will Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12.9
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$52.49
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+515.4%+$335
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$32.3
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$43.77
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$37.76
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT506%3 W · 47 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.13
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$575
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.9
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.06
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.52
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.37
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$542.67
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$16.38
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$50.4
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$21.24
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.98
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+183.2%+$364.9
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$49.99
All 20 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST100%0 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$138.11
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$113
Will the government shutdown end November 21 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will the government shutdown end November 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$12.95
Will the government shutdown end November 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$22.11
Will the government shutdown end November 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will the government shutdown end November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20.34
Will the government shutdown end November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$358.34
Will the government shutdown end November 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$614Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$614.07
Will the government shutdown end November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$601.02
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+150%+$75
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$66.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.