Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1afc8f139d24904e7281d72dc5732c608bf3f3884a56ee4e703a248bf668f073

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 26, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,366,326
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $839,598

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,366,326 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 428 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	141,408$5,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,496.15	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	13c	63,202$8,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,052.38	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	1c	35,164$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.45	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	6c	20,701$1,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,291.97	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x717e…ca8bbacked Yes	1c	19,992$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.26	65	26.2%17 W · 48 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	16,681$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.57	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	8c	15,950$1,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,248.07	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	7c	15,366$1,079 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,078.76	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe23d…3c72backed Yes	6c	13,990$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770.26	202	26.7%54 W · 148 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	11c	12,896$1,430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,429.8	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	6c	12,719$712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$711.53	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee0…f57bbacked Yes	11c	12,538$1,439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,439.25	820	6.6%54 W · 766 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	19c	11,703$2,246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,245.55	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	5c	11,361$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570.84	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	8c	10,856$918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$918.49	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	2c	10,766$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.25	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	15c	10,097$1,557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,557	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	11c	10,066$1,139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,139.23	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	10c	9,904$1,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.97	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	12c	9,841$1,203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,202.58	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	11c	8,808$943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$942.97	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	8c	8,643$731 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.39	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac83…eaaabacked Yes	0c	8,502$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.16	296	8.1%24 W · 272 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	10c	8,473$854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$853.7	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1da3…24d6backed Yes	11c	8,437$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897.8	76	13.2%10 W · 66 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	1c	7,009$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd45…59b2backed Yes	8c	6,536$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.1	66	10.6%7 W · 59 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	+87.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd93…a22bbacked Yes	6c	6,010$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.24	198	19.7%39 W · 159 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8b…dbf5backed Yes	10c	5,856$603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$603.41	181	16%29 W · 152 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8858…4b6bbacked Yes	6c	5,517$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.41	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	44cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dad…5c37backed Yes	18c	5,509$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	5c	5,047$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.71	434	5.1%22 W · 412 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-33%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	9c	5,038$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.35	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes	8c	4,984$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.18	86	16.3%14 W · 72 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4d…bfa0backed Yes	34c	4,799$1,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,628.6	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	-4.0wins	-0.12per pick	25cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3bb…9107backed Yes	8c	4,657$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.72	110	14.5%16 W · 94 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	7c	4,270$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.62	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f7e…d49bbacked Yes	6c	4,071$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.43	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec2d…de68backed Yes	5c	4,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	176	12.5%22 W · 154 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc781…59d7backed Yes	2c	3,992$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.72	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5300…d039backed Yes	8c	3,895$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.37	64	12.5%8 W · 56 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	+83.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x429b…2986backed Yes	17c	3,829$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$645.13	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	11c	3,823$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.27	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe828…5ceabacked Yes	10c	3,819$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+3.7wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05dd…305cbacked Yes	6c	3,756$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.54	96	16.7%16 W · 80 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	5c	3,651$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.61	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Yes	14c	3,622$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	30	33.3%10 W · 20 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	18c	3,545$654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.3	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88cb…2c20backed Yes	5c	3,536$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.21	108	11.1%12 W · 96 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+70.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8acf…22e4backed No	79c	3,405$2,677 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.11	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98ce…5e1dbacked Yes	8c	3,402$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.91	89	9%8 W · 81 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad78…6df3backed Yes	16c	3,120$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.4	244	12.7%31 W · 213 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	14c	3,050$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Yes	4c	3,006$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	50	18%9 W · 41 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf56b…f7c6backed Yes	5c	3,000$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…55cabacked Yes	17c	2,984$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.27	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	8c	2,859$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	73c	2,848$2,076 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$772.93	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f96…e6a2backed Yes	12c	2,836$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.36	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+125.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5841…3bfdbacked Yes	13c	2,785$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.94	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	16c	2,670$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.3	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes	9c	2,661$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.77	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c8a…ec4cbacked Yes	11c	2,636$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.28	25	20%5 W · 20 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	+104%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1022…f0cfbacked Yes	5c	2,620$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.8	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-24%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x340f…7a99backed Yes	4c	2,600$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.2	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3103…ea70backed Yes	5c	2,512$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.41	139	26.6%37 W · 102 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9519…9739backed Yes	8c	2,504$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	65	18.5%12 W · 53 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc11e…75c8backed Yes	5c	2,435$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.08	78	9%7 W · 71 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	+40.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Yes	18c	2,400$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.35	344	27%93 W · 251 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x804c…1658backed Yes	35c	2,296$813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$812.56	103	21.4%22 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8afb…49c0backed Yes	13c	2,145$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.98	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	23cpaid	+1,089.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc168…5024backed Yes	14c	2,118$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.97	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-26%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fed…d914backed Yes	9c	2,113$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.45	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Yes	14c	2,100$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.13	98	9.2%9 W · 89 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	10c	2,100$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.89	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	10c	1,903$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.91	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf243…5fb4backed Yes	9c	1,794$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.23	64	15.6%10 W · 54 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e64…4ddabacked Yes	4c	1,780$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.95	388	11.9%46 W · 342 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+51.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	10c	1,765$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.51	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaef1…4058backed Yes	14c	1,715$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.83	264	10.6%28 W · 236 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c16…bbcbbacked Yes	12c	1,714$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.62	61	14.8%9 W · 52 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	6c	1,660$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.89	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	14c	1,632$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.57	378	30.7%116 W · 262 L	-17.9wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	4c	1,567$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.53	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	2c	1,561$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed7e…a908backed Yes	13c	1,522$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.49	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc164…74d4backed Yes	1c	1,500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.17per pick	29cpaid	+32%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes	5c	1,500$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.5	285	9.1%26 W · 259 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	6c	1,487$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.05	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	8c	1,464$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.96	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfd1…928abacked Yes	21c	1,453$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.91	36	11.1%4 W · 32 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-65%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd709…9286backed Yes	9c	1,437$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.19	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-32%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6388…7622backed Yes	11c	1,416$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.06	30	16.7%5 W · 25 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes	14c	1,412$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	7c	1,400$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8c6…5b8bbacked Yes	25c	1,384$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.99	112	21.4%24 W · 88 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…048dbacked Yes	7c	1,382$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.34	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe155…45afbacked Yes	11c	1,368$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.16	209	24.9%52 W · 157 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1488…e492backed Yes	2c	1,360$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.82	179	24.6%44 W · 135 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f59…3b40backed Yes	9c	1,349$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.36	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event