Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d14a098cc87cee950c0e80a0fc30b6de665550cf56b865f3960c69d4e4b594c

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 24, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $586,101
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $352,157

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $586,101 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf6a5…98d0backed Yes	0c	76,966$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.97	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	1c	43,838$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.9	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	0c	20,400$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.8	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0744…b4cbbacked Yes	1c	16,368$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.74	73	13.7%10 W · 63 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	12,177$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.17	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc17…d1aebacked Yes	1c	11,539$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda17…d901backed Yes	0c	8,814$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.44	59	0%0 W · 59 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	0c	7,222$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.74	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25af…298bbacked Yes	1c	6,876$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-71%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e1…9d5abacked Yes	0c	6,000$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	0c	4,993$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.97	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecb…a693backed Yes	0c	4,654$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.69	122	4.9%6 W · 116 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+213.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63e3…7d85backed Yes	2c	4,414$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+1.6wins	+0.13per pick	3cpaid	+889.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	4,220$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.95	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	10c	4,056$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd709…9286backed Yes	1c	4,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-32%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75e7…9080backed Yes	1c	3,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	41	7.3%3 W · 38 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc60d…8887backed Yes	3c	2,721$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.83	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…4466backed Yes	1c	2,717$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	423	12.5%53 W · 370 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes	10c	2,500$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	158	12%19 W · 139 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c80…6aeabacked Yes	1c	2,476$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf667…2abcbacked Yes	1c	2,428$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.31	126	19%24 W · 102 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d72…8e62backed Yes	4c	2,400$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	52	1.9%1 W · 51 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	8cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	4c	2,242$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.9	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	1c	2,094$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60d…4e95backed Yes	1c	2,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54a…ead9backed Yes	1c	2,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	186	18.3%34 W · 152 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0888…e6e3backed Yes	4c	2,000$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	154	13%20 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1da3…24d6backed Yes	3c	1,999$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.04	76	13.2%10 W · 66 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30d7…59c1backed Yes	2c	1,605$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.81	89	22.5%20 W · 69 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	5c	1,589$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.96	279	4.7%13 W · 266 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes	9c	1,571$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.13	186	8.6%16 W · 170 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes	1c	1,500$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.27	347	14.7%51 W · 296 L	+13.8wins	+0.04per pick	11cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe26b…bee7backed Yes	13c	1,500$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	37	16.2%6 W · 31 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3986…01fdbacked Yes	4c	1,500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	206	8.7%18 W · 188 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95bd…0839backed Yes	1c	1,482$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.1	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	13cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507a…be1fbacked Yes	1c	1,478$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.18	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	5c	1,475$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.5	261	5.4%14 W · 247 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30f9…bfcabacked Yes	1c	1,463$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	137	17.5%24 W · 113 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	2c	1,408$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.04	434	5.1%22 W · 412 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-33%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88cb…2c20backed Yes	3c	1,400$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.02	108	11.1%12 W · 96 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+70.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdddc…9eb0backed Yes	11c	1,400$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf2…42eebacked Yes	5c	1,385$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.24	42	19%8 W · 34 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+33.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f82…2d74backed Yes	2c	1,374$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.98	105	13.3%14 W · 91 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	3c	1,359$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.96	730	4.5%33 W · 697 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcef…7388backed Yes	4c	1,250$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.44	91	4.4%4 W · 87 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-30%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	9c	1,220$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.31	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd635…9f1cbacked Yes	8c	1,200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	67	7.5%5 W · 62 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes	4c	1,197$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.62	182	4.9%9 W · 173 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+28.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	1,163$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.32	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x925b…640ebacked Yes	11c	1,114$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.25	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	-2.9wins	-0.07per pick	10cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e6d…2b09backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	250	23.2%58 W · 192 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84b9…8880backed Yes	12c	1,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes	5c	999.99$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f96…e6a2backed Yes	11c	871.79$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+125.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c5b…a736backed Yes	12c	859.97$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.4	98	9.2%9 W · 89 L	-5.6wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	856.59$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.42	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f18…5515backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff6…d728backed Yes	9c	707.9$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.71	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	9c	667.09$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a01…01cebacked Yes	11c	636.11$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.97	44	13.6%6 W · 38 L	-5.6wins	-0.13per pick	26cpaid	-74.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	3c	631.35$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96ef…5523backed Yes	11c	590.93$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e80…30e2backed Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf86…7d31backed Yes	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+3.8wins	+0.17per pick	10cpaid	+196.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c8a…ec4cbacked Yes	11c	500$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	25	20%5 W · 20 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	+104%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7137…20cabacked Yes	4c	500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c29…6fffbacked Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	181	10.5%19 W · 162 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19ef…c25dbacked Yes	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	14cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…8ec5backed Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	99	5.1%5 W · 94 L	-5.8wins	-0.06per pick	11cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ec4…5a28backed Yes	12c	465.76$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.89	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46fc…8f78backed Yes	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	25	12%3 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…f80dbacked Yes	10c	400$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	186	31.7%59 W · 127 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x868b…3627backed Yes	12c	388.33$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.6	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+97.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9240…a7c7backed Yes	8c	350$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	61	21.3%13 W · 48 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3b…88eabacked Yes	9c	333.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	204	13.2%27 W · 177 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes	10c	318.01$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.12	592	25.3%150 W · 442 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d2…2628backed Yes	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	24	12.5%3 W · 21 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb97c…a418backed Yes	10c	249.05$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.72	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa801…b40bbacked Yes	12c	208.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-82.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9df2…a79abacked Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73be…11dfbacked Yes	11c	199.96$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	72	6.9%5 W · 67 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f2b…90cfbacked Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-82.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd280…e66cbacked Yes	11c	181.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	10c	170.06$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.72	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…3fb6backed Yes	14c	142.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	80	8.8%7 W · 73 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bae…5199backed Yes	7c	137.83$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.09	55	9.1%5 W · 50 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes	8c	130$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb1…3958backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes	12c	125$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	141	53.9%76 W · 65 L	+13.6wins	+0.10per pick	44cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6620…75dabacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	35	8.6%3 W · 32 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf17f…b558backed Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a25…0eecbacked Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7228…e815backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6634…7f32backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	152	11.2%17 W · 135 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x239a…8e55backed Yes	11c	99.89$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.99	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event