TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe26b…bee7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Music, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Music at 53 out of 100; worst Boxing at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST3716.2%6 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,991Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,990.73
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$34.67
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$42
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$22.29
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$985Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$985.31
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$222.34
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$37.86
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$39.99
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$195
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$41.67
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$955Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+186.7%+$1,783.73
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$112.5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$329.97
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$39.22
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$226
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$153
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,346Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+75.4%+$1,014.17
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FaZe Clan win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$37.08
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$43
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$46.9
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+112.8%+$53
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$104.36
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+298%+$179.7
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,289Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,288.92
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+70.3%+$126.52
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,685Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+36.8%+$620.59
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Will Tom Hanks be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.3
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+55.3%+$35.6
Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 24, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$31.03
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$1,485.3
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+646.1%+$504.26
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-58.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+26.2%+$83
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$37
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$480
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$64.5
Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+260%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+260%+$288.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$325
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.