NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f99deef7f2238a5b3175dd182b6773b1d39685a1d140b609ec563717e058736
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,108,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,240,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,108,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 52c | 278,293$145,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132,485.97 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Warriors | 51c | 200,000$102,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,499.98 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Mavericks | 48c | 164,154$78,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,781.56 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc9…26fbbacked Mavericks | 49c | 135,000$66,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,000 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Warriors | 52c | 118,914$61,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,338.72 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Mavericks | 49c | 106,197$52,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,036.36 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mavericks | 47c | 93,110$43,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,761.64 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…6d9ebacked Warriors | 52c | 47,861$25,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,820.26 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mavericks | 47c | 32,864$15,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,592.33 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Mavericks | 48c | 29,568$14,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,192.7 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Warriors | 52c | 27,477$14,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,220.7 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Mavericks | 46c | 24,217$11,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,250.84 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Mavericks | 50c | 20,500$10,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,350 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Mavericks | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Mavericks | 50c | 12,475$6,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,237.51 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 51c | 12,468$6,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,092.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Mavericks | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Warriors | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Mavericks | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Mavericks | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53d…8c19backed Mavericks | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…8f9fbacked Mavericks | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 50c | 9,900$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Mavericks | 49c | 9,120$4,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,427.42 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Warriors | 49c | 8,862$4,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,519.67 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Warriors | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,675 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mavericks | 49c | 7,311$3,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,573.41 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Warriors | 50c | 7,028$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,528.09 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors | 47c | 6,837$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,623.45 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Warriors | 49c | 6,265$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,195.15 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Mavericks | 48c | 6,265$3,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,007.04 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Mavericks | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Mavericks | 51c | 6,100$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x251e…71e4backed Mavericks | 50c | 5,600$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 51c | 5,460$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,678.15 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…c795backed Warriors | 53c | 4,728$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Mavericks | 49c | 4,444$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.56 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Mavericks | 48c | 4,121$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Mavericks | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Mavericks | 50c | 4,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Warriors | 53c | 3,783$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.96 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Mavericks | 51c | 3,653$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mavericks | 47c | 3,294$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.61 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 48c | 3,111$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.14 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Mavericks | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Warriors | 51c | 2,688$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.24 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Warriors | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.93 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Warriors | 51c | 2,458$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.57 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 51c | 2,251$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.08 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Mavericks | 49c | 2,155$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.85 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Mavericks | 49c | 2,016$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.84 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Mavericks | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Mavericks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,809$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.98 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,764$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.64 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 47c | 1,755$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.03 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Mavericks | 35c | 1,716$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Mavericks | 49c | 1,524$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…2de3backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,447$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.48 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Mavericks | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.99 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Mavericks | 48c | 1,313$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mavericks | 47c | 1,170$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.9 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…c26cbacked Warriors | 49c | 1,119$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,091$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.68 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked Mavericks | 47c | 1,051$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.97 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Mavericks | 53c | 1,010$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.08 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc5…b639backed Mavericks | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 47c | 1,000$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…a2edbacked Mavericks | 50c | 987.44$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.72 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Warriors | 50c | 880$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Mavericks | 51c | 819$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.69 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Mavericks | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Warriors | 56c | 799.97$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…7df8backed Mavericks | 48c | 794.34$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.34 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Mavericks | 50c | 793.74$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.87 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Mavericks | 48c | 764.58$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Mavericks | 50c | 690.53$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.89 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Warriors | 53c | 613.02$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Mavericks | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Mavericks | 52c | 578$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.56 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Mavericks | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…8f47backed Warriors | 61c | 546.4$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.71 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Warriors | 70c | 541.78$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.78 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Mavericks | 40c | 510.23$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.09 | 535 | 39.6%212 W · 323 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Mavericks | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Mavericks | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Mavericks | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Mavericks | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Warriors | 55c | 472.07$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.36 | 238 | 45%107 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Mavericks | 47c | 430$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.2 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Mavericks | 24c | 425.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.13 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Mavericks | 48c | 425.31$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.15 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-8.5)this page
- Mavericks vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Mavericks vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Mavericks vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.