NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86488893cc446fd7ab68d3380edeec14506ba50ba79d9609bc7f7009910cdd0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $561,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $584,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $561,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Over | 59c | 256,000$151,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,959.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 41c | 234,220$96,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,705.74 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 41c | 14,784$6,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,083.62 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 51c | 8,888$4,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,355.12 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 8,819$3,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,798.79 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 3,707$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.97 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 58c | 3,103$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.45 | 227 | 56.8%129 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 49c | 2,821$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.53 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 51c | 1,819$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.31 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Over | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 1,555$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.5 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 1,261$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.47 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 51c | 1,185$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.41 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Under | 41c | 1,110$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Over | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.69 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f05…4480backed Over | 56c | 949.18$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.18 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea27…19c6backed Over | 54c | 833.17$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.27 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 56c | 577.86$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.02 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Under | 42c | 499.97$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…3a44backed Over | 57c | 457.14$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…bc8cbacked Over | 56c | 448.17$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 46c | 440$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…244cbacked Over | 53c | 366.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.48 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -11.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…aa68backed Under | 41c | 304.56$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.87 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 47c | 286.21$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.52 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4455…98e5backed Over | 56c | 268.39$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.39 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 74c | 259.07$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.01 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 48c | 251.43$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.7 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e24…b31fbacked Over | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…44f3backed Over | 51c | 227.45$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.45 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 50c | 198$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed Over | 53c | 188.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.71 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5c…ed5bbacked Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 46c | 165.27$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 59c | 116.95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Under | 45c | 111.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 53c | 94.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 47c | 89.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…224cbacked Under | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Under | 45c | 84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Over | 61c | 80.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…5059backed Under | 41c | 73.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -67%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 38c | 63.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…256ebacked Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…a23cbacked Over | 57c | 53.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 42c | 47.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Over | 44c | 45.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…47a4backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bd…2bf8backed Under | 50c | 43.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Over | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Over | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Over | 54c | 36.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 340 | 50.3%171 W · 169 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8c…c270backed Over | 57c | 35.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Over | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…73e6backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa7…2e1abacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Over | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…93f8backed Over | 59c | 27.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 60c | 25.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Under | 40c | 25.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Under | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 59c | 24.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Over | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5this page
- Mavericks vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Mavericks vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Mavericks vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.