NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbff291528231ffff8cee50e45d0f435c78ded6a83013c1fb09c68f66b13bf3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Mavericks, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,983,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,010,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,983,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,099 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Warriors | 73c | 370,370$270,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,999.99 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Mavericks | 27c | 277,856$73,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,926.58 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Mavericks | 24c | 244,896$59,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,791.28 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Mavericks | 27c | 225,808$60,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,968.14 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc9…26fbbacked Mavericks | 26c | 176,000$46,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,520 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Warriors | 74c | 157,333$116,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,079.84 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 73c | 144,998$105,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,149.58 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Warriors | 74c | 101,496$75,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,388.88 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Warriors | 73c | 88,135$64,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,678.99 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 73c | 78,857$57,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,324.31 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 75c | 64,051$48,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,776.91 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Mavericks | 26c | 62,729$16,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,309.55 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks | 26c | 58,129$15,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,226.39 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Warriors | 74c | 57,935$42,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,063.09 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Mavericks | 26c | 55,050$14,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,312.96 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Warriors | 73c | 50,300$36,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,457.95 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Warriors | 74c | 50,000$37,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,999.96 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Mavericks | 27c | 48,604$13,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,123 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Warriors | 73c | 43,000$31,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,529.99 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Warriors | 74c | 38,806$28,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,126.5 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Mavericks | 26c | 38,142$9,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,917.03 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mavericks | 26c | 34,000$8,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,839.96 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Mavericks | 26c | 25,340$6,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,496.82 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mavericks | 26c | 25,239$6,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,631.66 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Mavericks | 3c | 25,027$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.67 | 331 | 39.3%130 W · 201 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Mavericks | 11c | 24,081$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.19 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Mavericks | 27c | 23,524$6,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,351.35 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Mavericks | 7c | 21,374$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.67 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…43adbacked Mavericks | 29c | 20,891$5,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,971.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Warriors | 73c | 19,790$14,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,358.91 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Warriors | 78c | 19,658$15,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400.54 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Mavericks | 8c | 19,607$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.01 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Mavericks | 28c | 18,389$5,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,097.95 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Mavericks | 21c | 17,075$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600.5 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Warriors | 73c | 16,528$11,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,536.49 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mavericks | 7c | 16,484$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.28 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Mavericks | 11c | 16,145$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.71 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Warriors | 79c | 14,895$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,094.83 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Mavericks | 27c | 14,815$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Mavericks | 27c | 13,167$3,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,555.22 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mavericks | 10c | 12,862$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.28 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Mavericks | 21c | 11,835$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.59 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 74c | 11,622$8,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.18 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Mavericks | 12c | 10,337$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.07 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Mavericks | 27c | 10,128$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.61 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Warriors | 73c | 10,000$7,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Mavericks | 29c | 10,000$2,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.05 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9dd…3cc5backed Mavericks | 23c | 9,757$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Warriors | 74c | 9,752$7,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.51 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked Mavericks | 26c | 9,514$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.51 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Mavericks | 27c | 9,291$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.58 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…2cd5backed Mavericks | 10c | 8,504$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Mavericks | 21c | 8,499$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.2 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Mavericks | 16c | 8,018$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks | 14c | 8,003$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.62 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Warriors | 73c | 8,000$5,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Mavericks | 26c | 8,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.99 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Warriors | 73c | 8,000$5,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.99 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Mavericks | 26c | 8,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.97 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Warriors | 74c | 7,358$5,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.11 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…b365backed Mavericks | 18c | 7,300$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Mavericks | 26c | 6,933$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.47 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed Mavericks | 26c | 6,709$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.44 | 220 | 51.8%114 W · 106 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Warriors | 74c | 6,666$4,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.17 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks | 27c | 6,050$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Warriors | 80c | 5,980$4,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.2 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Warriors | 74c | 5,880$4,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Warriors | 74c | 5,862$4,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.13 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Warriors | 74c | 5,588$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.77 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Mavericks | 26c | 5,576$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.69 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Mavericks | 11c | 5,520$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.73 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Warriors | 74c | 5,109$3,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.25 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Mavericks | 27c | 5,055$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.93 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…29abbacked Mavericks | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Warriors | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.99 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Warriors | 73c | 5,000$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.95 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Mavericks | 26c | 4,961$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.86 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Warriors | 72c | 4,914$3,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.63 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2e…bfa2backed Mavericks | 20c | 4,779$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.83 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Mavericks | 26c | 4,624$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.24 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Mavericks | 25c | 4,580$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.44 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Mavericks | 18c | 4,375$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.9 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mavericks | 14c | 4,196$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.89 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Mavericks | 27c | 4,056$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Warriors | 74c | 4,036$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.04 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Mavericks | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Mavericks | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Warriors | 74c | 3,985$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.35 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Mavericks | 13c | 3,794$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.5 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Warriors | 75c | 3,752$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.1 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Warriors | 73c | 3,750$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.5 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Mavericks | 27c | 3,725$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.07 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 12c | 3,710$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.01 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2c…5933backed Warriors | 74c | 3,704$2,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.04 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Mavericks | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Mavericks | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144f…a1fdbacked Mavericks | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Warriors | 74c | 3,654$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.16 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Mavericks | 14c | 3,644$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Warriors | 71c | 3,629$2,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.26 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Warriorsthis page
- Mavericks vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Mavericks vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)Warriors won
- Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.