NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6047b9c24d50670003f3e44a33b397e658eec30485c368c81201c8f9a15ff8a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Warriors, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Warriors | 58c | 19,759$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,258.51 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Mavericks | 48c | 14,700$7,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,039 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Warriors | 53c | 10,459$5,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,882.74 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 43c | 7,659$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,329.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Warriors | 55c | 4,000$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.71 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors | 52c | 3,387$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.64 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Mavericks | 47c | 3,000$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Warriors | 53c | 2,880$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.4 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Mavericks | 46c | 2,700$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.99 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 42c | 2,641$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 48c | 1,724$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.52 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Mavericks | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Mavericks | 44c | 1,600$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.99 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Warriors | 52c | 1,088$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.41 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mavericks | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Warriors | 55c | 936.67$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.5 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mavericks | 40c | 888.96$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.58 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaf…4637backed Mavericks | 48c | 837.13$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Mavericks | 43c | 835.11$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.1 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Mavericks | 47c | 768$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.96 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Mavericks | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Mavericks | 47c | 447.74$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.94 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Mavericks | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Mavericks | 49c | 362.07$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.59 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Warriors | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Mavericks | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Warriors | 52c | 280$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.41 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Mavericks | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Mavericks | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…8497backed Warriors | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Mavericks | 56c | 180$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 463 | 48.4%224 W · 239 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Warriors | 54c | 175$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Mavericks | 50c | 166$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.24 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Mavericks | 37c | 155.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…121cbacked Warriors | 53c | 152.64$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Warriors | 51c | 151$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Warriors | 47c | 120.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Mavericks | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Mavericks | 18c | 118.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Mavericks | 44c | 114.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Warriors | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Mavericks | 47c | 105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Mavericks | 47c | 102$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Mavericks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…a940backed Mavericks | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +234.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Mavericks | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 145 | 62.8%91 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Mavericks | 46c | 99.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Warriors | 57c | 95.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -12.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Mavericks | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Warriors | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Warriors | 57c | 90$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ad…040abacked Warriors | 56c | 89.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mavericks | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Mavericks | 47c | 78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Mavericks | 44c | 77.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Warriors | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -12.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Mavericks | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Mavericks | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -8.6wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…3c28backed Mavericks | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 169 | 44.4%75 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Warriors | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…ce87backed Warriors | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Warriors | 53c | 49.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…47a4backed Mavericks | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Warriors | 53c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Warriors | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Warriors | 53c | 37.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked Warriors | 53c | 37.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Warriors | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Warriors | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Warriors | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Mavericks | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Mavericks | 45c | 32.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ae…2bfebacked Warriors | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…d89bbacked Warriors | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked Warriors | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Warriors | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52cc…9998backed Warriors | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Warriors | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Mavericks | 43c | 25.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Mavericks | 50c | 24.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b01…8f47backed Warriors | 78c | 24.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed Warriors | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…93f4backed Warriors | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Mavericks | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Warriors | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Warriors | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Warriors | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-7.5)this page
- Mavericks vs. WarriorsWarriors won
- Mavericks vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Mavericks vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Warriors (-8.5)Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.