TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x08cc…da60

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
159
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Serie A, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 59 out of 100; worst Champions League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST8248.8%40 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14.9
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Spread: Clippers (-2.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+101.9%+$24.93
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$20.8
Spread: Rockets (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$32.9
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$82.24
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+88.7%+$22.09
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$8.36
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Spread: Suns (-6.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+108.3%+$15.6
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+81.8%+$13.5
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+88.7%+$14.1
Spread: Heat (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Spread: Hornets (-6.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: 76ers (-10.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+92.3%+$14.4
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+90.4%+$96.6
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$16.32
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15.9
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST3461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellenic Championship: Eliot Spizzirri vs Nuno Borgesbacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+72.4%+$10.5
Hellenic Championship: Mackenzie McDonald vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+138.1%+$29
Hellenic Championship: Alejandro Tabilo vs Adam Waltonbacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+49.3%+$10.89
Open de Moselle: Arthur Cazaux vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.1
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.42
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.88
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+205.5%+$50.45
Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Zverevbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ugo Humbert vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Swiss Indoors Basel: Joao Fonseca vs Jaume Munarbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Francisco Comesana vs Luca Van Asschebacked Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$20.24
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ugo Humbert vs Reilly Opelkabacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+42.3%+$58.13
Swiss Indoors Basel: Joao Fonseca vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.16
Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$10.25
Swiss Indoors Basel: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jaume Munarbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
Erste Bank Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$16.1
Erste Bank Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$12
Erste Bank Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$42.56
Swiss Indoors Basel: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marin Cilicbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+37%+$25.92
Swiss Indoors Basel: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Gabriel Diallobacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+30.3%+$30.32
Erste Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$26.69
Erste Bank Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$38.47
Erste Bank Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Filip Misolicbacked Misolic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$17.51
Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.71
Swiss Indoors Basel: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$23.82
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-35.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2025-12-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$11.96
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2025-12-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$14.8
Getafe CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11.34
Getafe CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13.3
Atletico Madrid vs. Sevilla: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$14.35
Villarreal vs. Rayo Vallecano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$12.9
Will Alaves win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$12.57
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick43cpaid-85.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40.8
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.6
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$22.5
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$69.2
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$104.6
Will PSV win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15.6
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$21.18
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+164.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+107.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+122.2%+$16.5
Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+92.3%+$14.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$48.4
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 16, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.19
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$20.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Canadiensbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.