La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ec7cef6ab892c07e7b6c3515aafa0cd5182813b81c75b375a6d6f50e2c90779
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 65c | 26,469$17,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,308.07 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 7,291$2,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.62 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Under | 1c | 5,367$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,313.76 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +249.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 24c | 4,999$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.79 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 4,246$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.17 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Under | 59c | 3,632$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.14 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Under | 71c | 2,924$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.63 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Under | 1c | 2,555$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +895.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 39c | 2,051$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 37c | 1,640$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.75 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 35c | 1,387$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.45 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Under | 4c | 1,300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.99 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 6cpaid | +228.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 37c | 1,108$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.81 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Under | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 35c | 866.1$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.84 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 73c | 675$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.25 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 37c | 651.41$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.71 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Under | 63c | 402.89$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 399.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Over | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Over | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 34c | 291.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffc…177bbacked Over | 42c | 205$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed Under | 78c | 200.04$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…4d1cbacked Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…fa80backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cbf8backed Over | 38c | 146.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f39…4c71backed Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…08f1backed Over | 24c | 125.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Under | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…a45cbacked Over | 27c | 115.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 10c | 100.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd64f…29b4backed Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +245.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Under | 63c | 92.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Under | 80c | 88.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7658…28bcbacked Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Under | 63c | 82.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Under | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…4799backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 63c | 73$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed Under | 66c | 72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Under | 68c | 60.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 64c | 57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5c…ed5bbacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…82c2backed Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 49c | 41.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Under | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 64c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed Under | 53c | 38.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fc…0853backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5c…dba2backed Under | 57c | 36.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca10…66cabacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Over | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Over | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 37c | 33.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9784…e452backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 44cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc2…4837backed Under | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Over | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…0ea4backed Under | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Under | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 63c | 23.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3981…ae35backed Under | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1e…ccddbacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1342…5e18backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Valencia CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.