La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56052657624e3ecf630a7bd421f0932b4c269f5d49fdb9d4dd654e8c2a81d9e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,786
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 42c | 28,238$11,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,979 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 8,152$4,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,579.78 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 58c | 7,067$4,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968.15 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 5,141$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.33 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over | 58c | 4,800$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 43c | 2,502$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.41 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 59c | 1,773$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.93 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 61c | 1,661$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.39 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Over | 65c | 1,537$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.56 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Under | 3c | 1,200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 6cpaid | +228.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Over | 61c | 1,150$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.01 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Over | 61c | 1,088$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.65 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Over | 62c | 1,027$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 33c | 1,018$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.59 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Under | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over | 61c | 683$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.37 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 43c | 637.63$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.48 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…94b4backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 60c | 575$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 59c | 512.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.24 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Over | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Under | 68c | 449.31$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Over | 58c | 431$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.02 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…63e6backed Over | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89c…d58cbacked Over | 61c | 328.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…0bd6backed Under | 56c | 325.61$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 58c | 310$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Over | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 44c | 276.25$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.78 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Over | 62c | 274.92$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.47 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 55c | 238.76$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.44 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Over | 60c | 233.83$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.83 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…3ee8backed Under | 49c | 229.92$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 68c | 225$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…08d0backed Over | 56c | 215$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 47c | 210.73$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.48 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 60c | 185$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 38c | 158.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 61c | 114.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Under | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…296dbacked Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 42c | 94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8450…b5a9backed Under | 57c | 84.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 67c | 76.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Over | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5c…ed5bbacked Over | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 40c | 62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 42c | 61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Under | 41c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over | 58c | 57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 44c | 53.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 50c | 50.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9784…e452backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 44cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 31c | 49.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Over | 59c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…c226backed Over | 59c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…79a4backed Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 59c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 62c | 39.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 200 | 54.5%109 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 191 | 55%105 W · 86 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Over | 59c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d56…71dabacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Under | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Valencia CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.