La Liga · resolved market
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d2c455948d5497c30ca5a76dca854f6b615dc0fc0fff616921598bfa8e16e89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 17c | 3,544$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.66 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 17c | 2,173$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.13 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed Under | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 6cpaid | +228.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x924f…d049backed Under | 27c | 444.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 9c | 299.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 11c | 283.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 18c | 205.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 17c | 156.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Under | 18c | 155.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 18c | 115.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 19c | 108.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Under | 19c | 85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…f52cbacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 19c | 61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 19c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Under | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…4394backed Over | 70c | 43.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…ad71backed Over | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ee…f8aebacked Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…0b1fbacked Over | 77c | 18.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Over | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef96…54dfbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Valencia CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)Valencia CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.