TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Valencia CFof Club Atlético de Madrid, Valencia CF
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$672,846
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$688,547

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $672,846 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7435…a620backed Club Atlético de Madrid53c377,360$200,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199,999.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Valencia CF47c212,834$100,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,801.769455.3%52 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Valencia CF50c83,484$41,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,664.548957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Valencia CF48c59,473$28,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,925.8310438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed Valencia CF50c29,596$14,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,797.88650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Club Atlético de Madrid53c26,168$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Valencia CF49c14,564$7,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,472.044,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid51c13,333$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8003943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Valencia CF47c12,458$5,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,543.4490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Valencia CF48c12,160$5,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,323.24683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+64.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8366…21ebbacked Valencia CF51c9,778$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,777.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid50c8,433$4,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,216.621,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Club Atlético de Madrid48c7,130$3,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,422.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Club Atlético de Madrid50c3,600$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8004266.7%28 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x159f…5862backed Club Atlético de Madrid51c3,531$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Valencia CF48c3,358$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,746.2479133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2195…16f9backed Club Atlético de Madrid49c3,061$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Club Atlético de Madrid60c2,584$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.13531.4%11 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Valencia CF48c2,471$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.832356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Valencia CF61c2,153$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8466672.7%48 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Valencia CF51c2,000$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99018650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Valencia CF59c1,829$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.3522335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Valencia CF49c1,709$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.9425248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Club Atlético de Madrid51c1,607$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.640%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb39e…d78abacked Club Atlético de Madrid49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Valencia CF45c1,210$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.913,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Valencia CF53c1,208$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.553151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Valencia CF51c1,176$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.4815446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Club Atlético de Madrid51c1,050$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.52944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Valencia CF51c1,022$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.577553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Valencia CF47c983$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.9921957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Valencia CF49c945.65$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.2523452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d6d…1ba1backed Valencia CF55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Club Atlético de Madrid51c900$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45964046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Club Atlético de Madrid49c833.31$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.32850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Club Atlético de Madrid50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Valencia CF47c638$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.1412648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6891…949fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid50c609.32$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.661145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Valencia CF46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3249923.2%23 W · 76 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Club Atlético de Madrid51c588$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.881758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Valencia CF47c519$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.0722552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6520…315cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601520%3 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2c3…0e32backed Club Atlético de Madrid63c476.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001080%8 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Club Atlético de Madrid50c440$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.213052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Valencia CF43c433.44$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.069947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Valencia CF51c420$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.83372.7%24 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+39.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Club Atlético de Madrid48c405.92$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.841241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid50c356$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Club Atlético de Madrid53c349.59$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.4553246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Club Atlético de Madrid50c332$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16611929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Club Atlético de Madrid49c309.96$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.635918.6%11 W · 48 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe666…14f5backed Club Atlético de Madrid41c304.16$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.221172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Club Atlético de Madrid53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15924052.9%127 W · 113 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Valencia CF50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Valencia CF44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16850149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1472166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Club Atlético de Madrid42c291.97$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2329946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Club Atlético de Madrid50c286$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14315250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda95…e997backed Club Atlético de Madrid51c267.16$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x897d…90c9backed Valencia CF54c239.29$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.292846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Club Atlético de Madrid51c229$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.793545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Valencia CF52c215.92$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8762258%361 W · 261 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Club Atlético de Madrid50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006639.4%26 W · 40 L-8.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-25.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Club Atlético de Madrid28c200$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553141.9%13 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick26cpaid+100.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda5c…ed5bbacked Club Atlético de Madrid50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Valencia CF51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0811037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ec…ba9fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick55cpaid-55%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf4fe…7365backed Club Atlético de Madrid51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008550.6%43 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Club Atlético de Madrid53c186.78$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.998732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Club Atlético de Madrid60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003756.8%21 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed Valencia CF48c156.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Club Atlético de Madrid52c153.33$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796126.2%16 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick27cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Club Atlético de Madrid51c149.71$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7726242.7%112 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7175…08f1backed Valencia CF41c146.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.82560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb030…6241backed Club Atlético de Madrid45c143.36$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Valencia CF51c140.81$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694450%22 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x767f…0997backed Club Atlético de Madrid49c122.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Club Atlético de Madrid42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick61cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2544…f319backed Club Atlético de Madrid53c112.02$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.371822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Valencia CF48c111$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.723253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Valencia CF47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5919750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Valencia CF47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5911448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Valencia CF47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5916151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Valencia CF47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5929053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Valencia CF47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5914950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Club Atlético de Madrid50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508341%34 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Club Atlético de Madrid50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Club Atlético de Madrid50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Club Atlético de Madrid50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Club Atlético de Madrid50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Club Atlético de Madrid50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505834.5%20 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Club Atlético de Madrid50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505952.5%31 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Club Atlético de Madrid49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497236.1%26 W · 46 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Valencia CF50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5018152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Club Atlético de Madrid51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Club Atlético de Madrid50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022839.9%91 W · 137 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Club Atlético de Madrid51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Club Atlético de Madrid52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011056.4%62 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df4…d9bdbacked Club Atlético de Madrid26c94.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.