TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc2c3…0e32

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
176
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Serie A, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST5147.1%24 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 106.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Miles Bridges: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100.07
Kon Knueppel: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+44%+$55.85
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+27.2%+$17.01
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$296.72
Timberwolves vs. Heat: 1H Moneylinebacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13
1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Warriors vs. Hornets: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$200.38
Warriors vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 114.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Kings vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 114.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+63.9%+$78
76ers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$49.75
76ers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$118.7
1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81.8%+$122.73
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$500.94
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 110.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+29.9%+$19.79
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$140.4
Spread: Celtics (-1.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$300
76ers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$44.9
Spread: Hawks (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Spread: Warriors (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$126.64
AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90.97
Will Manchester United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+100%+$125
Will Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+72.4%+$52.86
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$107
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+164.9%+$256.05
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+53.8%+$108.09
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$504.83
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Oxford United FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Wolves vs. Manchester United: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+28.4%+$43.41
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$232
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Manchester United vs. West Ham: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+127.3%+$151.45
Manchester United vs. West Ham: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+49.3%+$33.49
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51
Flyers vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Islanders vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+108.3%+$71.5
Devils vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+53.4%+$32.05
Hurricanes vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$40.59
Flyers vs. Krakenbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Blue Jackets vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+72.4%+$144.83
Rangers vs. Bluesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+76.4%+$382.55
Maple Leafs vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+87.8%+$263.95
Canucks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Hurricanes vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Sharks vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$567.87
Ducks vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+110.5%+$905.76
Rangers vs. Blackhawksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$301
Ducks vs. Penguinsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+92.3%+$169.85
Utah vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26%+$130.33
Jets vs. Canadiensbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$200
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Will Chelsea FC vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$63
Will Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100.39
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+79%+$50.25
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+47.1%+$24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+112.8%+$451.06
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will FC København win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+182.5%+$177.06
Will Villarreal CF vs. FC København end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$210
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+29.9%+$145.77
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$460
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+132.6%+$662.79
AS Monaco FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+29.9%+$59.86
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$55
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+26.6%+$22.83
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+58.7%+$117.75
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+35.1%+$105.41
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+44.9%+$88.06
Athletic Club vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+25%+$50
Will Barcelona win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+46.2%+$240.48
Real Betis vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Villarreal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+80.9%+$80.86
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+58.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+56.3%+$141.16
California vs. Hawaii: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+85.2%+$85.25
Spread: Navy (-6.5)backed Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Army vs. Navybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$714
All 4 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+89.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Indies win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
New Zealand ODI Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 2)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+84.2%+$52.21
Royal Challengers Bangalore vs. Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.54
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+41.7%+$179.56
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$389.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-02-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$99.84
Will Racing Club vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+66.7%+$24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)backed Inter Miami CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+222.6%+$222.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 28 - April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+125.2%+$74.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-12-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+78.6%+$157.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+57.2%+$457.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaurbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$67.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jonathan Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.