TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,065
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$154,962

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,065 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb1d9…4ce3backed Under37c32,120$11,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,842.0360%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Over64c8,000$5,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88018948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7da…cd13backed Over66c7,488$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,537.74450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over64c7,033$4,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,531.8827750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under52c6,384$3,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,332.482,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over65c5,587$3,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.461,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Over56c4,999$2,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,209.567736.4%28 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over62c4,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5205754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Over67c3,900$2,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2897755.8%43 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over56c3,679$2,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,612.856,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Over66c3,445$2,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.3513834.1%47 W · 91 L-11.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under33c3,252$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.162,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Over63c3,175$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under36c2,800$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0081,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under34c2,463$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.331,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcdb…461abacked Over50c1,824$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55560728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4089…91a9backed Over66c1,413$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.57580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Under43c1,395$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c1,217$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.524,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb07…0769backed Under6c1,200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68200%0 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under35c1,122$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.715952.2%83 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Over65c1,117$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.925745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over22c1,105$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.911,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over41c1,081$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.6413132.1%42 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over65c1,022$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.5249254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Under71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7109843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d6…29f7backed Under67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67050%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc2c3…0e32backed Under51c992.54$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.831942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over57c824.07$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.1340150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over63c800.6$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.2210956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Over66c727.58$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.584665.2%30 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under35c599.91$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9729427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under34c595.23$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.413054.6%71 W · 59 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ab1…7df3backed Under79c553.1$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.13366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over57c525$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.757737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over66c502.7$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.922050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked Over30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35012042.5%51 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+38.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18020040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under35c499.98$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9939156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Over65c423$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.052857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Over63c415.87$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.875141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Over66c392.77$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.546262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e22…88a5backed Over64c390$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.44100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over62c378.97$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.011827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over64c369.08$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8740953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over43c349.28$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.0910244.1%45 W · 57 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over64c335.41$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.7515060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52bd…1a8abacked Over65c315$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.256845.6%31 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x106b…4e8bbacked Over65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.693737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under36c299.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10821839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under36c289.71$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.831,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under74c289.2$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.9551542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under36c283.11$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9274256.9%422 W · 320 L+46.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over17c278.02$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.51942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+38.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4fe…7365backed Under38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over63c235.7$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2123435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Over65c232.31$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.314047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over65c230.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7718059.4%107 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over26c230$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.7557744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8437342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Under38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7617748%85 W · 92 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over65c170.77$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7749544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Over63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7316160.9%98 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82e3…2151backed Over64c156.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.212556%14 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32a…b9a4backed Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.857352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over63c140.46$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.526747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28c8…aaccbacked Over63c126.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.985058%29 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Over66c120.07$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8216552.7%87 W · 78 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over52c102$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7419133%63 W · 128 L-13.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa384…f6e4backed Over65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.54358.1%25 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x623c…dde0backed Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341060%6 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a2…e265backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x93e8…c261backed Under38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3351750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9db…d934backed Over65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353727%10 W · 27 L-9.7wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-50.8%equal weight33-0.16 edge/pick
0xb583…3428backed Over65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354355.8%24 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5611420.2%23 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3511448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Over66c98.48$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.482857.1%16 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Under35c94.38$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.034447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a0b…b9f8backed Under74c89.19$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over62c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.410569.5%73 W · 32 L+10.3wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe76a…d79cbacked Over64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2328…e304backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.766245.2%28 W · 34 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.769961.6%61 W · 38 L+13.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6b9d…e565backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.763444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over34c73.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5335743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over62c72.58$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5818449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Over64c70$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.25352.8%28 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Under52c67.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3519259.4%114 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Over67c59.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.719541.1%39 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Over64c54.69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6912446%57 W · 67 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd53e…db8cbacked Under37c54.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…f691backed Over30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Under36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185339.6%21 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over66c48.48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4828654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over59c42.61$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4755955.1%308 W · 251 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332d…7b0ebacked Over65c41.85$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.658143.2%35 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.