Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c8cb82920c77603dddf371d39023c8efed2b35072a312e3c67f68202d553cc0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 35c | 5,273$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.4 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 65c | 2,744$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.14 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 1,543$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.86 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…0769backed No | 4c | 1,400$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 1,331$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.97 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 29c | 1,296$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.03 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 34c | 1,211$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.93 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,052$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.77 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…05ddbacked No | 68c | 1,035$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.34 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 66c | 1,030$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.18 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed No | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 69c | 801.04$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.72 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…cb8abacked Yes | 19c | 232.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +253%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes | 35c | 226.57$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.57 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 73c | 224.88$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.78 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 66c | 210.92$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.42 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…d57fbacked No | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 65c | 196.57$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.77 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 18c | 177.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.78 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…b50dbacked No | 67c | 164.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe91b…feebbacked No | 75c | 153.33$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…5a97backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 64c | 140$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ea…7600backed Yes | 30c | 136.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 36c | 107$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3502…6847backed No | 66c | 99.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x892f…4d5cbacked No | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f1…8f46backed Yes | 36c | 75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Yes | 34c | 64.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9d…e565backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed No | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…0e35backed No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Yes | 30c | 35.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d61…ed5ebacked No | 73c | 30.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffa…5bfbbacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…70a0backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e2…06fbbacked No | 69c | 29.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…8984backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48f…0303backed No | 67c | 26.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.