TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ddc…f21c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT6747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.85
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.86
Chelsea FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$999.48
Charlton Athletic FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$395.62
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$311.75
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$116.63
Newcastle United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$73
Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+100%+$23
Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$12.88
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+88.7%+$69.99
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+75.4%+$30.18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+69.5%+$76.78
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+54.7%+$85.12
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+56.3%+$16.88
Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Everton FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4957.1%28 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.82
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.28
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.69
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.74
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.63
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32%+$68.45
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.4
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.37
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$10.03
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.27
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$20.36
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Türkiye vs. United States: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$145
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$72.86
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$16.19
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
FC Bayern München vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+37%+$23.9
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+82.3%+$82.34
Arsenal FC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$19.93
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$49.93
Will Olympique Marseille win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,496Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+45.9%+$2,062.74
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+141.3%+$494.55
Will Newcastle United vs. Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$154.29
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Atalanta end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.79
Will Chelsea vs. PSG end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will PSG beat Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,146.13
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$198.27
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-57.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$249.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,499.41
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.