Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88156a51fb5f063c1130ebefb5de4e95d3338d75c0f0757c578e547aaf21cc5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2635…5408backed No | 36c | 63,519$22,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,866.76 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 64c | 54,766$35,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,715.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 64c | 13,379$8,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,818.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 36c | 5,808$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.81 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.97 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 63c | 2,714$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.29 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 35c | 2,000$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.28 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 36c | 1,801$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.26 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Yes | 66c | 1,727$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 65c | 1,334$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 38c | 1,262$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.68 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 34c | 1,073$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.53 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa7…9a4dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,072$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed No | 37c | 988.78$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.85 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 34c | 956.45$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.32 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 64c | 853.13$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.13 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7428…e742backed Yes | 66c | 758.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2a…4945backed Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e7…ef3bbacked Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 63c | 741.87$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.38 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 66c | 723.56$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.01 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 63c | 684.46$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.1 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes | 66c | 666.66$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.82 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 76c | 566.95$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.8 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 28c | 505.8$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.06 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…4dc3backed Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 65c | 472.81$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.66 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 37c | 470.86$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.22 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdee7…f032backed Yes | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 37c | 440$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…9e30backed Yes | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +149%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked No | 31c | 389.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 64c | 383.98$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.23 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 63c | 350.95$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.95 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 64c | 331.86$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.84 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 63c | 314.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 37c | 314$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.18 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes | 65c | 292.31$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 17c | 244.17$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…d632backed Yes | 79c | 243.88$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…45afbacked Yes | 67c | 225.04$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 38c | 213$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.44 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…e03abacked Yes | 63c | 206.35$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…9bbbbacked Yes | 63c | 203.17$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…314ebacked Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 66c | 193.62$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 63c | 180$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x695a…d3d6backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…cd34backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes | 64c | 147.44$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 35c | 145$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 37c | 133.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 37c | 132.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 63c | 132$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…37fabacked Yes | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4c…2577backed Yes | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Yes | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes | 63c | 113.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes | 63c | 113.44$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 37c | 107$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 61c | 102.56$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 64c | 101.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked No | 37c | 100.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0842…eb45backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…85b7backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…dad4backed Yes | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 66c | 85.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 62c | 83.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…490fbacked Yes | 64c | 82.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 63c | 81.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…da3bbacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…15c5backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…82e5backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e7…4dc9backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 29c | 69.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…bf07backed Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 67c | 63.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d1…817ebacked No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-21?this page
- Will Borussia Dortmund vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-09-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.