TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36f8…4dc3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 59 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+83.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.52
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$114.08
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$235.93
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$95.86
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Will Inter win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$120.7
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+46.7%+$72.46
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+81.3%+$276.26
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the Golden Ball at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$71
Will PSG beat Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia score a goal in the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.42
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$178.96
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+1,900%+$1,653
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.74
Champions LeagueQuarterfinals: Arsenal vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.96
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$112
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Will Paris Saint-Germain or Liverpool advance in the UCL Round of 16?backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+300.6%+$300.6
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+92.3%+$193.85
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+244.8%+$242.38
Will Paris Saint-Germain beat Stuttgart?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+163.2%+$81.58
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Ilia Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$236.37
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Zhang Mingyang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.44
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lerone Murphy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.94
Will Shara Magomedov win against Arman Tsarukyan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$73.77
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$222.58
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silvabacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$116.47
UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$625
UFC 319: Will Chimaev win by KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandezbacked Dolidze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$81
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.1
UFC 317: Will Topuria To Win By KO/TKO/DQ?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+75.5%+$223.48
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. backed Rountree Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$220
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Kunievbacked Kuniev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Will Trump attend UFC 316 tonight?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$899Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$899
Gaethje vs. Fizievbacked Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$256.4
Cejudo vs. Songbacked Cejudo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Thicknesse vs. Topuriabacked Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+33.3%+$200.12
Makhachev vs. Moicanobacked Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+284.6%+$427.15
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$97
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$296
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jaume Munar vs Novak Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+96.3%+$193.16
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Holger Runebacked Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+58.3%+$407.77
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Cameron Norriebacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$490.91
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$671.32
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$74.68
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Taylor Fritzbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$440.69
US Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Jaume Munarbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$89.41
ATP Cincinnati - Zverev vs. Alcaraz backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+62.3%+$80.99
ATP Cincinnati - Tiafoe vs. Rune backed Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+109.6%+$327.4
Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+53.9%+$425.67
All 12 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Turkey win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
Will Dennis Schroder win the 2025 EuroBasket MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$83
Euro Basket: Turkey vs Greecebacked Turkey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$540.92
Euro Basket: Poland vs Belgiumbacked Poland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Euro Basket: Spain vs Greecebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$59
Euro Basket: Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Georgiabacked Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
Euro Basket: Sweden vs Montenegrobacked Montenegro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+90.2%+$90.19
Euro Basket: Italy vs Georgiabacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$53.55
Euro Basket: Lithuania vs Germanybacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+42.4%+$106.06
Euro Basket: Georgia vs Spainbacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$450
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.96
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.95
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$316.67
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Wizards vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Kingsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$45.62
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$104
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$115
Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$190.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Georgia win on 2025-09-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$201.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$176.19
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump mentions his memecoin in inaugural address?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$465
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.