NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d42cfa64b3f8b473755c5d33e29d7e6b81b820703f1c1b16c52463e36942797
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Knicks, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $524,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $540,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $524,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 848 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Warriors | 71c | 55,557$39,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,834.1 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…96d9backed Knicks | 30c | 52,500$15,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,737.85 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Knicks | 28c | 32,015$9,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,026.29 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e1…5363backed Knicks | 29c | 19,999$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8774…17f2backed Warriors | 71c | 12,760$9,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…2b83backed Knicks | 29c | 12,000$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Warriors | 72c | 11,633$8,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.01 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Warriors | 67c | 10,971$7,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,651.15 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Warriors | 76c | 10,000$7,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks | 28c | 9,970$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.59 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Warriors | 70c | 9,554$6,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840.41 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Knicks | 27c | 9,474$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.32 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Knicks | 32c | 8,839$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.31 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 69c | 7,969$5,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,472.14 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…edbfbacked Knicks | 33c | 7,796$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.36 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…2d82backed Knicks | 29c | 7,662$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Warriors | 78c | 7,239$5,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.65 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Knicks | 29c | 7,050$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…c63fbacked Warriors | 71c | 7,000$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Warriors | 71c | 5,570$3,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.2 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Knicks | 30c | 5,197$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.49 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Knicks | 36c | 5,090$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.9 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Knicks | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Warriors | 72c | 4,783$3,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.33 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb806…12abbacked Knicks | 32c | 4,694$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Knicks | 30c | 4,400$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 29c | 3,907$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.69 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Warriors | 71c | 3,600$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Knicks | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Knicks | 29c | 2,638$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.02 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Knicks | 9c | 2,589$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Warriors | 71c | 2,579$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.91 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Knicks | 32c | 2,344$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Knicks | 13c | 2,286$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.6 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Knicks | 6c | 2,250$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Warriors | 70c | 2,021$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.45 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Warriors | 70c | 2,000$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.99 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 71c | 1,879$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.9 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…b1d6backed Warriors | 70c | 1,869$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.26 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8244…7a11backed Warriors | 77c | 1,670$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Knicks | 29c | 1,602$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.22 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 70c | 1,500$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Knicks | 29c | 1,500$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Knicks | 5c | 1,469$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Warriors | 71c | 1,432$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.49 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Warriors | 65c | 1,426$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.05 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Warriors | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Warriors | 72c | 1,248$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.4 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Warriors | 71c | 1,136$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.32 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Knicks | 24c | 1,125$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.94 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Knicks | 28c | 1,115$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.97 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Warriors | 70c | 1,112$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.52 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…bec9backed Warriors | 67c | 1,100$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Knicks | 29c | 1,055$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.75 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Knicks | 28c | 1,010$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.01 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Knicks | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Knicks | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Knicks | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Knicks | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Knicks | 26c | 999.97$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Knicks | 21c | 955.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Warriors | 68c | 904.55$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.09 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Knicks | 11c | 879.25$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x311b…080dbacked Knicks | 24c | 860$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Knicks | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ed…e60abacked Knicks | 11c | 793.75$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 153 | 16.3%25 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Warriors | 72c | 771.1$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.1 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Knicks | 29c | 735.02$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.16 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Knicks | 38c | 709.84$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.74 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Knicks | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked Warriors | 67c | 683.52$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.9 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…dd15backed Knicks | 15c | 677.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Warriors | 72c | 636$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.08 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Knicks | 33c | 614.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Knicks | 2c | 594$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Warriors | 78c | 589.77$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.77 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Knicks | 30c | 568.95$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.02 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Warriors | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ee…bf85backed Knicks | 12c | 557.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 200 | 31%62 W · 138 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Knicks | 28c | 537.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Warriors | 75c | 536.88$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.22 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4197…6b31backed Warriors | 74c | 521.08$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.08 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x638e…9bd1backed Knicks | 31c | 519.35$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Knicks | 5c | 500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Warriors | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Knicks | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Knicks | 30c | 499.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 69c | 499.97$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Knicks | 29c | 495$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Knicks | 28c | 492$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.76 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0717…abb0backed Warriors | 70c | 446.16$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Knicks | 28c | 428.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…ec88backed Knicks | 9c | 425$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341e…6efbbacked Warriors | 71c | 423$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Knicks | 26c | 409.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.46 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…d77dbacked Warriors | 71c | 366.2$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e0…c6c4backed Knicks | 30c | 356.63$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.99 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Knicks | 28c | 347.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…b24ebacked Knicks | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 29.8%48 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.