TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x27f2…702c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
207
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst College Football at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST9868.4%67 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$775Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$775.07
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,826Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,826.15
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,507Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+50.9%+$2,295.89
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,613Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$6,613.4
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$7,972Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$7,972.22
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,368Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$2,368.31
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11,936Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11,936.25
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,578Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+25%+$394.6
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,315Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+66.7%+$2,210.14
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,733Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+25%+$933.14
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+29.7%+$1,812.84
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$46.5
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,742Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$3,742.01
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$913Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$913.39
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,681Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25.8%+$1,722.39
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,808Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$2,808.07
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$262.8
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+25%+$56.83
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT+83.6%+$931.7
Celtics vs. Grizzliesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,037Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+83.6%+$866.96
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+48.3%+$303.67
Clippers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+40.6%+$165.94
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$102.21
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+25%+$100.95
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST9359.1%55 W · 38 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$957Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+77.4%+$741.43
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$642Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$330.73
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+36.4%+$458.86
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,544Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$2,544.22
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,994Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+47.3%+$1,416.86
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$7,231Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+39.5%+$2,859.49
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$5,500.22
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,485Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+98.3%+$3,424.86
Steelers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$6,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$6,599.04
Vikings vs. Giantsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+86.1%+$25.83
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$7,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$7,190.59
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,875Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+32.6%+$937.5
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$7,823Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$7,822.56
Packers vs. Broncosbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,566Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$3,565.65
Browns vs. Bearsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$795.43
Bills vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$3,710.2
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11,966Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11,966.33
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,439Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+42.9%+$1,045.17
LAR vs. Cardinalsbacked LAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11,365Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$3,023.41
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,805Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+37%+$2,147.05
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17,628Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+35%+$6,168.6
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,320Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+34.4%+$1,486.4
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$8,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$8,489.91
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$9,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$9,329.84
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$26,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$26,018.87
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,382Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$3,382.13
North Texas vs. Western Michiganbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$706.11
Baylor vs. SMUbacked SMU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$678.79
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Besiktas beat Lyon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+61.3%+$613.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Blackhawksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+38.4%+$54.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.