College Football · resolved market
Baylor vs. SMU
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd007477fe321c37b5c6818ea65849bda729c2658cd75fad681a829ccde29ad86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baylorof Baylor, SMU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $288,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $278,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Baylor | 44c | 23,627$10,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,300.08 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed SMU | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,600 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Baylor | 42c | 19,377$8,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,238.48 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3d…35d0backed SMU | 65c | 13,828$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Baylor | 40c | 13,020$5,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,798.48 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Baylor | 39c | 12,956$5,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,870.05 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked SMU | 0c | 10,489$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed SMU | 76c | 10,175$7,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,736.82 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Baylor | 24c | 10,139$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,684.17 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked SMU | 64c | 9,252$5,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,926.34 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked SMU | 60c | 8,107$4,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,864.47 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked SMU | 59c | 7,504$4,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,432.52 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked SMU | 75c | 6,658$4,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,993.22 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5720…6b19backed SMU | 59c | 5,743$3,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,378.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…1c41backed Baylor | 44c | 5,456$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644d…a26ebacked SMU | 56c | 5,360$3,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Baylor | 41c | 4,909$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Baylor | 42c | 4,765$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765.39 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f36…6c86backed Baylor | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Baylor | 41c | 3,498$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.94 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked SMU | 60c | 3,442$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.16 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked SMU | 44c | 3,418$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.93 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Baylor | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.99 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ae…f0d4backed SMU | 56c | 2,858$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Baylor | 41c | 2,180$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.7 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Baylor | 44c | 2,125$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.97 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed SMU | 1c | 2,039$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Baylor | 54c | 1,985$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.83 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…e7bbbacked SMU | 56c | 1,785$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed SMU | 57c | 1,689$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.99 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed SMU | 74c | 1,600$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked SMU | 59c | 1,488$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.04 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Baylor | 41c | 1,447$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.4 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Baylor | 43c | 1,439$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.54 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SMU | 34c | 1,373$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.81 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked SMU | 58c | 1,306$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.03 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Baylor | 34c | 1,299$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.4 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed SMU | 52c | 1,203$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.67 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Baylor | 40c | 1,170$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.93 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed SMU | 64c | 1,161$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.09 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Baylor | 43c | 1,156$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.33 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked SMU | 59c | 1,150$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked SMU | 57c | 1,105$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.76 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked SMU | 58c | 1,052$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.34 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed SMU | 54c | 1,046$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.3 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baylor | 41c | 1,036$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.21 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed SMU | 57c | 1,032$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Baylor | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Baylor | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Baylor | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67ba…2befbacked SMU | 74c | 962.12$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked SMU | 57c | 913.04$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.86 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed SMU | 74c | 840.64$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Baylor | 35c | 808.39$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.22 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…6644backed SMU | 60c | 776.03$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked SMU | 59c | 649$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.91 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked SMU | 51c | 600$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.8 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed SMU | 46c | 543$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.72 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…b6e3backed SMU | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked SMU | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked SMU | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed SMU | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed SMU | 59c | 488.14$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Baylor | 42c | 475.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.86 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15f5…7855backed Baylor | 45c | 465$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked SMU | 75c | 427.17$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.2 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed SMU | 56c | 400$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed SMU | 74c | 399.99$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…14d2backed SMU | 72c | 367.9$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked SMU | 70c | 363.93$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed SMU | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked SMU | 57c | 310$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.34 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3545…741dbacked SMU | 52c | 300.58$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Baylor | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Baylor | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Baylor | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Baylor | 47c | 234$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.84 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.36per pick | 42cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e92…a962backed SMU | 76c | 229.86$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…2c99backed Baylor | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Baylor | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…1e59backed SMU | 57c | 201.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked SMU | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Baylor | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked SMU | 55c | 188.41$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.63 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked SMU | 57c | 188$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed SMU | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…d41ebacked SMU | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…23d9backed Baylor | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Baylor | 27c | 174.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.77 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed SMU | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e3…cf99backed SMU | 57c | 132.3$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…a858backed Baylor | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed SMU | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed SMU | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked SMU | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…c2acbacked SMU | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed SMU | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Baylor | 38c | 99.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…e669backed SMU | 57c | 93.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Baylor | 44c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baylor vs. SMUthis page
- Baylor vs. SMU: O/U 64.5Over won
- Spread: SMU (-3.5)Baylor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.