TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d3d…35d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst Middle East at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST2450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SMU Mustangs vs. Californiabacked California · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$735Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+284.6%+$2,092.91
Western Kentucky vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+55.8%+$131.51
Oregon vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$358.37
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$622Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+122.9%+$764.31
Utah vs. Kansasbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+75.4%+$195.63
Bowling vs. UMassbacked UMass · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$715Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$715.22
Kansas State vs. Oklahoma Statebacked Oklahoma State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,554Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,553.58
Eastern Michigan vs. Ball Statebacked Eastern Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15,937Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+74.7%+$11,900.51
Houston vs. Oregon Statebacked Oregon State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$492
California vs. San Diego Statebacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$920Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+145.6%+$1,339.74
North Carolina State vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,232Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+67.8%+$3,546.56
North Carolina State vs. Wake Forestbacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$515.07
Tulsa vs. New Mexico Statebacked New Mexico State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,998Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+25%+$1,999.5
UCLA vs. UNLVbacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,000
Troy vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16,761Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$8,826.39
Baylor vs. SMUbacked SMU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$9,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,000
Illinois vs. Dukebacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17,701Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+83%+$14,685.72
TCU vs. North Carolinabacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Notre Dame vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$2,386.05
Virginia Tech vs. South Carolinabacked Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,214Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,214
Alabama vs. Florida Statebacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17,684Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17,684.18
Texas vs. Ohio Statebacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,990
Nebraska vs. Cincinnatibacked Cincinnati · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,800
Boise State vs. South Floridabacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$8,999Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+182.3%+$16,407.41
All 24 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockies vs. Marinersbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Twins vs. Angels: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+108.9%+$21.77
Cubs vs. Bravesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+100%+$545.99
Rockies vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,114Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$371.61
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$9,001Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+42.4%+$3,812.77
Angels vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$595
Red Sox vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$256.49
Pirates vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,772Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,772.35
Cardinals vs. White Soxbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,709Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+36.6%+$1,358.08
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,544Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+28.6%+$1,015.01
Cardinals vs. White Soxbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,335Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$818.43
Angels vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,414Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,413.64
Pirates vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$7,381Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+43.9%+$3,242.85
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+58%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falcons vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+74.1%+$386.69
Jaguars vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$4,300.18
Lions vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,914Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$2,109.99
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35,198Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+45.1%+$15,857.16
Falcons vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+150%+$2,250
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,404Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+102.6%+$5,545.13
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$728Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$727.61
Lions vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+36.8%+$1,472.7
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+203.3%+$247.06
Buccaneers vs. Falconsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$1,921.57
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+56.3%+$304.36
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+49.1%+$178.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13,057Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+126.8%+$16,553.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.