TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Oregon vs. Washington

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oregonof Oregon, Washington
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,109,026
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,393,544

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,109,026 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9193…b1f1backed Washington32c2,141,038$685,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685,022.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Oregon73c487,429$354,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132,961.937846.2%36 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Oregon67c353,157$236,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116,508.733354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Oregon68c231,325$158,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,959.485639.3%22 W · 34 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Oregon69c178,375$123,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,277.8529249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaefe…1e4abacked Oregon72c150,000$108,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,0002955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Oregon68c140,000$95,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,0004163.4%26 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Washington28c121,582$34,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,042.8810448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Oregon69c120,000$82,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,20032745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Oregon68c109,784$74,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,598.9858850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Oregon68c91,128$62,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,901.972,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Oregon69c65,683$45,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,620.1126147.9%125 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked Oregon68c60,000$40,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,400475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Oregon69c50,000$34,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,5009750.5%49 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Oregon68c50,000$33,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,2008549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Oregon68c44,995$30,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,498.452641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Oregon71c40,980$29,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,772.421546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Oregon68c40,002$27,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,880.737342.5%31 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Oregon73c34,252$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,251.5219362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Oregon78c33,200$25,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,349.1664841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Oregon68c21,299$14,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,771.7721348.8%104 W · 109 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Washington18c19,195$3,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.2826244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0140…9028backed Washington30c17,031$5,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,158.56742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Oregon69c16,700$11,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,17720450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Oregon68c16,005$10,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,121.5115451.9%80 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Oregon68c15,500$10,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,893.873959%23 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Washington28c15,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20015745.2%71 W · 86 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Oregon68c14,796$10,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,667.4393548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Oregon69c14,661$10,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,544.785957.6%34 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x387c…57b3backed Washington18c13,834$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Oregon73c10,028$7,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.442733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Washington9c10,000$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.993342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Oregon72c10,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80012746.5%59 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6358…cc23backed Washington31c9,438$2,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,896.92728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-47.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Oregon73c8,225$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,224.317946.9%84 W · 95 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66de…71d4backed Oregon71c7,327$5,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,124.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14d5…7f0bbacked Washington29c6,998$2,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.42450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Oregon69c6,533$4,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.337146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Oregon78c6,031$4,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.1168440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Washington28c6,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6806947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3300…568bbacked Oregon80c5,500$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.3366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Washington25c5,255$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Oregon71c5,200$3,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5221145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Oregon69c4,186$2,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.511040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49d0…8503backed Washington21c4,128$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.76540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…abbabacked Washington30c4,077$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.36520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Oregon69c4,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2403148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Washington30c3,880$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.866842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Washington20c3,098$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.685345.3%24 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Oregon72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8402450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Oregon69c2,899$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Washington27c2,811$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.41560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5c…c9eebacked Oregon71c2,611$1,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.334100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Oregon70c2,550$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.851145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5916…8d4fbacked Oregon76c1,980$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.26163.9%39 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Oregon68c1,961$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.749253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bf9…5d1bbacked Washington13c1,891$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.37333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick15cpaid+44.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Oregon70c1,551$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.372751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Oregon69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4657133.8%24 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Washington28c1,490$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.2713417.2%23 W · 111 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c91…7a51backed Washington17c1,415$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Oregon73c1,402$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.446162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x76fc…e0bdbacked Oregon68c1,400$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4462937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Oregon70c1,343$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.0213845.7%63 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5635…3534backed Washington18c1,341$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Washington18c1,325$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.48520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-70.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Oregon79c1,310$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.132263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3d…35d0backed Washington28c1,295$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.372450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f26…be98backed Oregon72c1,236$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.474100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+60.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6077…f4f4backed Washington31c1,219$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.934447.7%21 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Washington24c1,213$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2932536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5c…aad0backed Oregon78c1,212$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.822161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd2c…6d37backed Oregon73c1,198$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.29742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick65cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Oregon74c1,152$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.4457144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Washington29c1,073$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.8950358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb0…e797backed Washington30c1,070$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington15c1,040$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9255350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9844…5e6cbacked Oregon69c1,031$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.533060%18 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Oregon69c1,008$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.489457.4%54 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Washington28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Washington28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.982119%4 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.22per pick41cpaid-63.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5eb7…05f6backed Washington13c999.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304141.5%17 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ebf…a9d3backed Washington27c999.96$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6465…f8ddbacked Washington32c954.95$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Washington2c953.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.72790%0 W · 79 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae6a…faf4backed Oregon76c872.88$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.491118.2%2 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.37per pick55cpaid-75.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Oregon76c851.89$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.895149%25 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Washington24c820$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.89053.3%48 W · 42 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0679…e5aabacked Oregon79c800$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Oregon78c773.43$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.4310664.2%68 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994b…c047backed Washington19c737.89$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.2425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Oregon69c700$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2172425%6 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-47.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc561…fa80backed Oregon70c699.97$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.991060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bef…18b0backed Oregon76c682.39$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.391361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Washington30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011221.4%24 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75ee…1054backed Oregon74c659.24$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Washington28c647.32$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.877642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd54…2941backed Oregon70c599.99$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1804100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+57.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d8a…e842backed Oregon80c594.8$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.96560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5f…a463backed Washington32c568.66$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.