TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6358…cc23

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 58 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-57.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$49.34
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.92
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$75.54
Will PVV be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$69.98
Will GL/PvdA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$109
Will JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$45.14
Will VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+94.6%+$85.56
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$562Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$562.06
Will PUSC win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$71.34
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$24.79
Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,895Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,894.61
Pirates wins 10% or more of vote in Czech election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.4
All 13 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.64
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.42
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$32.9
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$74.4
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$42.12
Will Little Amélie or the Character of Rain be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+52.9%+$9
Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+111.2%+$41.59
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+37.4%+$19.11
Will Amy Madigan be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+156.4%+$92.72
Will Jesse Plemons (Bugonia) win Best Actor – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
"The Witcher: Season 4" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 60 and 74?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$259.54
"The Witcher: Season 4" Rotten Tomatoes score is 75 or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$279.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+157.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+257.1%+$103.68
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.96
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85.05
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+667.1%+$721.8
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+1,063.2%+$578.58
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+53.8%+$49.7
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+32.9%+$238.35
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.62
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick30cpaid+66.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-47.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Anduril IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.16
Ripple Labs IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71.4
Discord IPO in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.58
All 3 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-58.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$8.96
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$675
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: SPIKE Syndicate vs Croatian Flair x RLX (BO3) - EBL Regular Seasonbacked SPIKE Syndicate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$248.03
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$61.44
Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+222.6%+$665.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.44
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$1,694.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.16
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,693Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+54.5%+$1,467.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+335%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+335%+$396.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$27.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+35.1%+$24.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$7.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers make the NHL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$5.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tiger Woods play in the 2026 Masters Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.