College Football · resolved market
Will Alabama make the College Football Playoff?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb5c3b6e2694cd90f6134343a85e6c267adaedd568bf778018003d837ea5c4c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63bf…e319backed No | 25c | 8,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 33cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 75c | 6,914$5,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 16c | 1,523$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +129.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 76c | 1,323$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.16 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc78c…0c5abacked No | 24c | 1,079$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 80c | 916.98$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.4 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2012…128fbacked Yes | 80c | 900$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 71c | 563.82$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f0…2151backed Yes | 74c | 367$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed No | 34c | 353$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d4…7850backed No | 35c | 346.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 69c | 328.7$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.58 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…09adbacked No | 18c | 305$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd553…6af5backed Yes | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x990b…7b0fbacked Yes | 78c | 289$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2a4ebacked Yes | 66c | 286$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…cfe8backed No | 15c | 269$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked No | 24c | 245.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed No | 17c | 227$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 75c | 200.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…5b14backed No | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…b461backed No | 20c | 193$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…2923backed Yes | 79c | 186$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 26c | 180$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 19c | 178$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed No | 39c | 173$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…9964backed No | 39c | 172$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 20c | 160.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…bcf0backed No | 15c | 146$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…58ccbacked No | 19c | 132$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…f00ebacked No | 18c | 130$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed Yes | 61c | 118$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…416abacked Yes | 79c | 110$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…a440backed No | 27c | 109.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed No | 19c | 109$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed Yes | 80c | 109$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked No | 39c | 108$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…fa2abacked No | 19c | 107$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked No | 22c | 107$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a58…da14backed Yes | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +113%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…2261backed No | 15c | 96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…2c99backed Yes | 75c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…2cf4backed No | 22c | 89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed Yes | 80c | 84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d7…8c45backed Yes | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b32…c8a9backed No | 18c | 74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x881f…dfe9backed Yes | 75c | 73.41$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…476abacked No | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…05f7backed No | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee3a…f3c5backed No | 29c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6358…cc23backed Yes | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbb…831fbacked Yes | 75c | 20.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alabama make the College Football Playoff?this page
- Will Arizona State make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will BYU make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Clemson make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Duke make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Florida State make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Florida make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Georgia Tech make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Georgia make the College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Indiana make the College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Iowa State make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Iowa make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Kansas State make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Kansas make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Miami Florida make the College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Michigan make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Minnesota make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Missouri make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Nebraska make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will North Carolina make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Notre Dame make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Ohio State make the College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Ole Miss make the College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Oregon make the College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Penn State make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will South Carolina make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will TCU make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Tennessee make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Texas A&M make the College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Texas Tech make the College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Texas make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Tulane make the College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will USC make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Utah make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Virginia Tech make the College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Washington make the College Football Playoff?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.