TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x881f…dfe9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
132
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: NHL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 60 out of 100; worst NBA at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2520%5 W · 20 L-6.0wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-65.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.77
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+54%+$28.46
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.66
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.9
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.17
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.4
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$54.99
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Heat vs. Magic: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Pelicans vs. Netsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Netsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+112.8%+$56.38
Grizzlies vs. Spursbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 25 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27.95
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$26.51
Will the Bengals win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$38.31
Eagles vs. Chargers: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.33
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bears vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$17.57
Bears vs. Packers: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$13.29
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Commanders vs. Vikingsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Lions (-3.5)backed Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+104.1%+$52.04
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$28.69
Cowboys vs. Lions: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+95.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$190.09
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Bruins vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+78.6%+$26.56
Red Wings vs. Blackhawksbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+53.8%+$14
Sharks vs. Penguinsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+150%+$27.6
Senators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$47.08
Blackhawks vs. Blues: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$26.5
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$24.3
Panthers vs. Utahbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+100%+$45.1
Red Wings vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Bruins vs. Bluesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$47.5
Devils vs. Senatorsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+143.9%+$71.95
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Capitals vs. Sharksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+68.7%+$34.34
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+79.5%+$149.36
Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$13.14
Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$35.54
Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+144.6%+$59.66
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$62
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$18.7
Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+79.5%+$20.1
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+63%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-68.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+96.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+176.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+53.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.46
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+61.3%+$30.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$47.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Monterrey win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.